CURRENCYCURRENT BIASPOTENTIAL STRATEGY
EUR/USD (Short Term)
Still trapped in a tight range between 1.2850 and 1.2890 as traders look ahead to U.S. data. See full report for more details.
GBP/USD (Short Term)
Consolidating in the mid-1.5200s after yesterday's bounce. Previous stop sell trade cancelled
USD/JPY (Short Term)
Consolidation continues in the mid-1.0200s, next resistance at 1.0300. See full report for more details
USD/CHF (Short Term)
Yesterday's bounce off .9600 losing steam, near-term resistance sits at .9700
USD/CAD (Short Term)
Buy if USD/CAD dips to 1.0230, stop at 1.0195, target at 1.0275. See full report for more details
AUD/USD (Short Term)
Relentless selling pressure continues, room down toward .9700 or even .9600 next week
NZD/USD (Short Term)
Also breaking lower, possible support levels sit at .8050 and .8000. See full report for more details
  • EUR/USD
  • GBP/USD
  • USD/JPY
  • USD/CHF
  • USD/CAD
  • AUD/USD
  • NZD/USD
EUR/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Still trapped in a tight range between 1.2850 and 1.2890 as traders look ahead to U.S. data. See full report for more details.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Piercing Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Piercing Candle is formed when one candle opens near the bottom of the previous candle’s range, but buyers step in and push rates up to close in the upper half of the previous candle’s range. It suggests a potential trend reversal.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

It’s a bit of a Groundhog’s Day phenomenon for EUR/USD as we roll into the last trading of the week. The pair has lost all meaningful momentum and is still trading sideways in a tight range between support at 1.2850 and resistance up around 1.2890. Rates did just carve out a Piercing Candle on the 4hr chart, suggesting buyers continue to step in to defend the 1.2850 floor. For today, Consumer Confidence data out of the U.S. may be enough to push rates beyond the recent consolidation range, but if we don’t see a move early in today’s North American trade, consolidation in the same range is likely into the weekend. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any updates or new trade ideas later today.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 31.3036Monthly Pivot Point
Resistance 21.3000Key psychological resistance
Resistance 11.2890Previous resistance
Current Price1.2860
Support 11.2850Previous support
Support 21.2800Round handle support
Support 3tbd
GBP/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Consolidating in the mid-1.5200s after yesterday's bounce. Previous stop sell trade cancelled
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Doji - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Doji candle is formed when rates trade higher and lower within a given timeframe, but close in the middle of the range, near the open. Dojis suggest indecision in the market.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The GBP/USD has seen a bit more strength than its mainland cousin over the past 24 hours, with rates ticking briefly above 1.5300 yesterday. As of writing, the pair has pulled back to the mid-1.5200s, and key support remains near the weekly lows around 1.5200. As we have all week, we continue to favor sell trades, though the stop sell order highlighted in  yesterday’s Candlestick Daily report is now unlikely to enter and has been cancelled. Our preferred strategy would be to sell bounces into the mid-1.5300s if seen. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any updates or new trade ideas later today.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 31.5420Previous support, now resistance
Resistance 21.5377Monthly Pivot Point
Resistance 11.5300Round handle resistance
Current Price1.5243
Support 11.5200Round handle support
Support 21.5100Round handle support
Support 3tbd
USD/JPY (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Consolidation continues in the mid-1.0200s, next resistance at 1.0300. See full report for more details
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/JPY remains essentially unchanged from its price of 24 hours ago, despite a rash of negative U.S. economic data and the announcement of more financial reforms from Japan. The 1.0300 round handle continues to act as a “lighthouse” for the pair, warding price away anytime it gets close. Moving forward, we will watch for volatility to pick up around today’s Consumer Sentiment report and a possible pullback toward 102.00 on profit-taking ahead of the weekend. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any updates or new trade ideas later today.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 1103.00Round handle resistance
Current Price102.39
Support 1102.00Round handle support
Support 2100.60Monthly R1 Pivot
Support 3100.00Key psychological support
USD/CHF (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Yesterday's bounce off .9600 losing steam, near-term resistance sits at .9700
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Bearish Pin Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Bearish Pin (Pinnochio) candle, or inverted hammer, is formed when prices rally within the candle before sellers step in and push prices back down to close near the open. It suggests the potential for a bearish continuation if the low of the candle is broken.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CHF bounced off key support at the .9600 level yesterday (though unfortunately, not before dipping just low enough to stop out the buy trade highlighted in yesterday’s Live Market Analysis webinar!). As of writing though, the bounce has lost steam ahead of the .9700 round handle and shows early signs of a potential pullback, including a Bearish Pin Candle on the 4hr chart.  For today, the .9600 level should continue to support rates on any pullbacks, though resistance around .9700 may put a near-term ceiling on any rallies. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any updates or new trade ideas later today.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 1.9798Monthly R3 Pivot
Current Price.9662
Support 1.9600Round handle support
Support 2.9500Round handle support
Support 3tbd
USD/CAD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Buy if USD/CAD dips to 1.0230, stop at 1.0195, target at 1.0275. See full report for more details
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?Bullish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CAD broke out to new 3-week highs yesterday, surging through previous resistance near the Monthly R1 Pivot at 1.0220. A large Bullish Marubozu candle foreshadowed the breakout  and further gains to come in today’s early European trade, a development which has now emerged. At this point, the pair has room to run up to test the 2-month high around 1.0285 next, and buy opportunities will be favored ahead of the weekend.

One way to play the breakout is to set a limit buy order at 1.0230 (just ahead of previous-resistance-turned-support at 1.0220) with a stop at 1.0195 (back below the 1.0200 round handle) and a target at 1.0275 (ahead of previous resistance at 1.0285).

Trade Invalidation
This trade would be invalidated if not triggered by the end of this week’s trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0300Round handle resistance
Resistance 11.0285Previous resistance
Current Price1.0251
Support 11.0200Round handle support
Support 21.0136Monthly Pivot
Support 3tbd
AUD/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Relentless selling pressure continues, room down toward .9700 or even .9600 next week
What is the trend?Down
What is this pattern?Bearish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The AUD/USD broke to new lows over the last 24 hours after showing some tentative signs of bouncing yesterday. The pair has not dropped an incredible 650+ pips since the beginning of the month as traders abandon their carry trades en masse. While the natural temptation is to look for a countertrend bounce, the pair may actually set further lows before finding a floor. The daily chart shows the next major level of previous support is not until down around .9600; while rates certainly aren’t guaranteed to reach this level, it does show scope for further drops next week. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any updates or new trade ideas later today.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 1.9800Round handle resistance
Current Price.9753
Support 1.9700Round handle support
Support 2.9600Previous support
Support 3tbd
NZD/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Also breaking lower, possible support levels sit at .8050 and .8000. See full report for more details
What is the trend?Down
What is this pattern?Bearish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The NZD/USD followed its larger antipodean brother lower, trading down to the round .8100 handle in today’s late Asian session trade. As with the Aussie, we certainly could see a profit-taking bounce ahead of the weekend, but we are not a major support level yet. The next areas to watch on NZD/USD will be previous support at .8050 and key psychological support at .8000. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any updates or new trade ideas later today.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2.8211Monthly S2 Pivot
Resistance 1.8200Round handle resistance
Current Price.8098
Support 1.8071Monthly S3 Pivot
Support 2.8050Previous support
Support 3.8000Round handle support

DISCLAIMER: The information provided below should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. FX360 .com is merely providing these views for your general information. The information presented in the views below does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. We generally encourage readers and clients not to risk more than 3% of their account on any single trade. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate.

FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com

NOTE: All trade ideas on FX360.com are hypothetical. FX360.com has not placed these ideas in a live trading environment. Forex Trading involves high risks, with the potential for substantial losses that exceed your initial deposit and is not suitable for all persons. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.


The information, including Commentary and Trade Ideas, provided on FX360.com should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research which should be performed before making your investment decisions. Global Futures & Forex, Ltd. (“GFT Markets”) and FX360.com is merely providing this information for your general information. The information and opinions presented do not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. Any projections or views of the market provided by FX360.com may not prove to be accurate.

The views of the authors and analysts are not necessarily those of GFT Markets, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com. GFT Markets and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
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TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
USD/CAD
Medium term



Buy Buy at 1.0230
Stop at 1.0195
Target at 1.0275
currency trade idea
GBP/JPY
Medium term
Opened 5/16/2013
Sell Short from 156.6000
Stop at 157.4
Target at 155.1
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

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