CURRENCYCURRENT BIASPOTENTIAL STRATEGY
EUR/USD (Short Term)
Looking to sell bounces to fib retracements at 1.2930 and 1.2960. See full report for more details
GBP/USD (Short Term)
Bouncing slightly from key psychological support at 1.50, next resistance at 1.5100 and 1.5180.
USD/JPY (Short Term)
Sharp drop finding support at 101.00, looking to buy dips toward 101.00 over the course of today's trade. See full report for more details.
USD/CHF (Short Term)
Yesterday's breakout buy trade invalidated, rates essentially unchanged from yesterday's report after rollercoaster 24 hours.
USD/CAD (Short Term)
Clear bullish channel intact, looking to buy dips toward 1.0300
AUD/USD (Short Term)
Bullish candlestick pattern may point to larger bounce if rates break above .9700
NZD/USD (Short Term)
Bouncing back from .8000 psychological support, but resistance expected at .8100 and .8200. See full report for more details.
  • EUR/USD
  • GBP/USD
  • USD/JPY
  • USD/CHF
  • USD/CAD
  • AUD/USD
  • NZD/USD
EUR/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Looking to sell bounces to fib retracements at 1.2930 and 1.2960. See full report for more details
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Bullish Engulfing Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Bullish Engulfing candle is formed when the candle breaks below the low of the previous time period before buyers step in and push rates up to close above the high of the previous time period. It indicates that the buyers have wrested control of the market from the sellers.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The EUR/USD collapsed during yesterday’s North American trade, dropping from a peak near 1.30 all the way down to test support near last week’s lows in the lower-1.2800s. Since then, rates have shown signs of bouncing back and retracing some of yesterday’s big drop. As the 4hr chart below shows, the unit carved out a Bullish Engulfing Candle on the 4hr chart, foreshadowing a move higher heading into today’s North American trade. To the topside, we will watch to see if rates reach the 61.8% or 78.6% Fibonacci retracements at 1.2930 and 1.2960 respectively. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any updates or new trade ideas later today.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 31.3000Key psychological resistance
Resistance 21.296078.6% Fib retracement
Resistance 11.293061.8% Fib retracement
Current Price1.2889
Support 11.2820Previous support
Support 21.2800Round handle support
Support 3tbd
GBP/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Bouncing slightly from key psychological support at 1.50, next resistance at 1.5100 and 1.5180.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The GBP/USD also dropped following Bernanke’s testimony yesterday, ticking down near key psychological support at 1.50 before bouncing in today’s early European trade. As with the EUR/USD, we would prefer to sell on bounces toward resistance at the Fibonacci retracements of the early week drop, starting at 1.5115. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any updates or new trade ideas later today.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 31.5200Round handle resistance
Resistance 21.517861.8% Fib Retracement
Resistance 11.511538.2% Fib Retracement
Current Price1.5071
Support 11.5015Previous support
Support 21.5000Key psychological support
Support 3tbd
USD/JPY (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Sharp drop finding support at 101.00, looking to buy dips toward 101.00 over the course of today's trade. See full report for more details.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?Bullish Pin Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Bullish Pin (Pinnochio) candle, also known as a hammer or paper umbrella, is formed when prices fall within the candle before buyers step in and push prices back up to close near the open. It suggests the potential for a bullish continuation if the high of the candle is broken.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/JPY fell sharply over the past 12 hours, mirroring the drop in Japan’s stock market index. Rates cascaded nearly 300 pips lower from the post-Bernanke peak, though rates appear to recovering off 101.00 already. Overall, the pullback is constructive for longer-term bulls and we are maintain a bullish bias for now. Further dips back toward the 101.00 handle would provide a favorable opportunity to enter the longer-term uptrend at value; stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any updates or new trade ideas later today.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 1102.00Previous support, now resistance
Current Price101.67
Support 1101.00Round handle support
Support 2100.60Monthly R1 Pivot
Support 3100.00Key psychological support
USD/CHF (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Yesterday's breakout buy trade invalidated, rates essentially unchanged from yesterday's report after rollercoaster 24 hours.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Bearish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The rollercoaster ride was particularly extreme in the USD/CHF over the past 24 hours. Rates broke higher on Bernanke’s testimony yesterday, but not before ticking down just low enough to invalidated yesterday’s breakout buy trade. Rates have since reversed again, taking the pair back below .9700. At this point, both buyers and sellers are a bit shell-shocked and we are back to watching the previous range from .9600 to .9750. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any updates or new trade ideas later today.

Trade Invalidation
This trade would be invalidated by a drop below .9680 prior to entry.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3.9900Round handle resistance
Resistance 2.9798Monthly R3 Pivot
Resistance 1.9750Previous resistance
Current Price.9685
Support 1.9600Round handle support
Support 2tbd
Support 3tbd
USD/CAD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Clear bullish channel intact, looking to buy dips toward 1.0300
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CAD continued to trade perfectly within its channel, with rates breaking to new 2013 highs above 1.0335. Moving forward, the 1.0335 level may now provide support under rates, though we would be most interested in trading a deeper dip toward 1.0300. As long as the clear bullish channel holds, the bias remains to the topside and we will continue to watch buy opportunities on dips. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any updates or new trade ideas later today.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0400Round handle resistance
Resistance 11.0376Monthly R2 Pivot
Current Price1.0346
Support 1~1.0300 (currently)Bullish trend line support
Support 21.0220Monthly R1 Pivot
Support 3tbd
AUD/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Bullish candlestick pattern may point to larger bounce if rates break above .9700
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Morning Star - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Morning Star candle formation is relatively rare candlestick formation created by a long red candle, followed a small-bodied candle near the low of the first candle, and completed by a long-bodied green candle. It represents a transition from bearish to bullish momentum and foreshadows more strength to come.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The AUD/USD dipped all the way down to test .9600 in the wake of Bernanke’s testimony yesterday as traders continue to sell the Aussie against all comers. The pair has carved out a bit of a Morning Star candlestick formation over the past 12 hours, suggesting that a long-overdue bounce may finally be imminent. While more aggressive traders could consider buy trades for today, the more prudent course of action would be to wait for any potential bounce to lose steam and rejoin the selling pressure later this week or early next week.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3.9837Monthly S3 Pivot
Resistance 2.9800Round handle resistance
Resistance 1.9700Round handle resistance
Current Price.9688
Support 1.9600Round handle support
Support 2tbd
Support 3tbd
NZD/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Bouncing back from .8000 psychological support, but resistance expected at .8100 and .8200. See full report for more details.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The NZD/USD also dropped to a new 2013 low yesterday, breaking through the Monthly S3 Pivot to trade all the way down to round handle support at .8000. The pair has since found a floor at this level and staged a sharp rally back to .8100, but as with the other pairs, there is no reason to suggest that the USD rally is coming to an end yet. Watch for resistance at .8100 or near the previous highs at .8200 if the bounce turns out to be stronger than expected.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3.8211Monthly S2 Pivot
Resistance 2.8200Round handle resistance
Resistance 1.8100Round handle resistance
Current Price.8088
Support 1.8000Key psychological support
Support 2tbd
Support 3tbd

DISCLAIMER: The information provided below should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. FX360 .com is merely providing these views for your general information. The information presented in the views below does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. We generally encourage readers and clients not to risk more than 3% of their account on any single trade. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate.

FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com

NOTE: All trade ideas on FX360.com are hypothetical. FX360.com has not placed these ideas in a live trading environment. Forex Trading involves high risks, with the potential for substantial losses that exceed your initial deposit and is not suitable for all persons. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.


The information, including Commentary and Trade Ideas, provided on FX360.com should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research which should be performed before making your investment decisions. Global Futures & Forex, Ltd. (“GFT Markets”) and FX360.com is merely providing this information for your general information. The information and opinions presented do not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. Any projections or views of the market provided by FX360.com may not prove to be accurate.

The views of the authors and analysts are not necessarily those of GFT Markets, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com. GFT Markets and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
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TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
AUD/USD
Medium term



Sell Sell at .9775
Stop at 0.985
Target at 0.963
There are currently no trades in progress.
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

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