CURRENCYCURRENT BIASPOTENTIAL STRATEGY
EUR/USD (Medium Term)
Bought EUR/USD at 1.2467. Stop at 1.2064. Profit target at 1.3036.
GBP/USD (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
USD/JPY (Medium Term)
Watch too see if the third test of the bullish trend line holds.
USD/CHF (Medium Term)
Watch for potential resistance at 61.8% of YZ on our 8hr Chart.
USD/CAD (Medium Term)
Watch for potential resistance near general Fibonacci ratios drawn on our 4hr Chart.
AUD/USD (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
NZD/USD (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
  • EUR/USD
  • GBP/USD
  • USD/JPY
  • USD/CHF
  • USD/CAD
  • AUD/USD
  • NZD/USD
EUR/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Bought EUR/USD at 1.2467. Stop at 1.2064. Profit target at 1.3036.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?Bullish Gartley - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?Multiple levels of support converged near our buy entry at 1.2476.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?N/A
Reason for Strategy

We have been watching a general version of the pattern on the EUR/USD Weekly Chart for a long time.  The pair has finally dropped all the way to long term support at 1.2467.  Three levels of support converge near this area: 78.6% of 01, 161.8% of AB, and 1A=BC.

Although the trade idea has already entered, it is still possible to enter at this point if the pair drops back to 1.2467.

Trade Invalidation
N/A
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 2Bearish trend lineSee Daily Chart
Resistance 11.303638.2% of BC (estimated until point C definitively establishes itself)
Current Price1.2427
Support 11.2467Strong support on the Weekly Chart
Support 21.1876Point 0 on the Weekly Chart
Support 3N/AN/A
  • Weekly Chart - Bought EUR/USD at 1.2467.
  • Daily Chart - 1.3000 support has broken; bearish trend line becomes focus.
GBP/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy
The GBP/USD has now broken through both bullish trend lines on the 4hr Chart.  It now appears that the dotted broken trend line has provided some new resistance.  General support at 1.5330 still suggests a longer term bullish outlook, but we must watch for something brand new to emerge on a short term basis. 
Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 2N/AN/A
Resistance 1Broken trend linesSee 4hr Chart
Current Price1.5494
Support 11.5330General support on the Weekly Chart
Support 2N/AN/A
Support 3N/AN/A
  • Weekly Chart - 1.5330 has continually generated strong support in the past.
  • 4hr Chart - Will we continue to see some resistance at the dotted trend line?
USD/JPY (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch too see if the third test of the bullish trend line holds.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy
The USD/JPY is currently facing a third test at the potential bullish trend line on the 4hr Chart.  Although the test originally pierced the trend line, it is still possible that strong support could generate a valid trend line.  A successful test at the trend line would suggest a strong bullish bias.  Meanwhile, the pair also has seen seen strong support at the broken trend line on the Daily Chart, which has led to the formation of the potential bullish trend line.
Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 381.6861.8% of YZ on the Daily Chart
Resistance 280.9150% of YZ on the Daily Chart
Resistance 181.1538.2% of YZ on the Daily Chart
Current Price79.40
Support 1Possible bullish trend lineSee 4hr Chart
Support 2Broken trend lineSee Daily Chart
Support 3N/AN/A
  • Daily Chart - Will 38.2% halt the rally generated by the broken trend line?
  • 4hr Chart - Possible bullish trend line is emerging.
USD/CHF (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for potential resistance at 61.8% of YZ on our 8hr Chart.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy
We are watching some general Fibonacci ratios that could help a new USD/CHF pattern develop.  The key ratio to focus on for the next 24 hours will now be 78.6% of YZ on the 8hr Chart because 61.8% of YZ has broken.  If 78.6% provides strong resistance, it could help form a new pattern.  It is also worth noting that this potential resistance occurs near the circled area where the broken trend line provided new resistance.  This may not be a huge deal, but it could be an extra catalyst needed for a fresh sell off.
Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 30.9771Point Y on the 8hr Chart/127.2% of 01 on the Daily Chart
Resistance 20.969678.6% of YZ on the 8hr Chart
Resistance 10.963761.8% of YZ on the 8hr Chart (probably broken now)
Current Price0.9664
Support 10.945038.2% of 1A on the Daily Chart
Support 20.935150% of 1A on the Daily Chart
Support 30.925161.8% of 1A on the Daily Chart
  • Daily Chart - 38.2% of 1A has provided recent support.
  • 8hr Chart - Will the pair face resistance at 78.6% of YZ?
USD/CAD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for potential resistance near general Fibonacci ratios drawn on our 4hr Chart.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CAD has broken above both 50% of YZ and 61.8% of YZon the 4hr Chart.  This is a good thing since we have been hoping that 78.6% of YZ would be the ratio that generates resistance.  Resistance at that level would increase the chances a valid pattern could quickly develop.

Otherwise, the pair has is still in a general bullish mode since beginning a strong rally near the broken trend line on the Daily Chart.  The potential resistance described above  (78.6% of YZ) could help create a dip that would allow us to buy into this rally.

Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 31.038478.6% of YZ on the 4hr Chart (new key level)
Resistance 21.033661.8% of YZ on the 4hr Chart (probably broken)
Resistance 11.030250% of YZ on the 4hr Chart (broken)
Current Price1.0344
Support 1Broken trend lineSee Daily Chart
Support 2N/AN/A
Support 3N/AN/A
  • Daily Chart - Strong support off of the broken trend line has led to a very sharp rally.
  • 4hr Chart - Where will we see strong resistance?
AUD/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy
The AUD/USD 4hr Chart bullish trend line broke almost as soon it formed.  A casualty of last week's USD rally, the trend line didn't have a chance when the USD started take off.  Meanwhile, the pair is still well above strong support at 78.6% of 1A.  Otherwise, we will watch for something more useful to emerge.
Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 31.1080Point 0 on the Weekly Chart
Resistance 21.071778.6% of 01 on the Weekly Chart
Resistance 1Broken bullish trend lineSee 4hr Chart
Current Price1.0015
Support 10.970178.6% of 1A on the Weekly Chart
Support 20.9387Point 1 on the Weekly Chart
Support 3N/AN/A
  • Weekly Chart - 78.6% of 1A is still providing support.
  • 4hr Chart - Broken bullish trend line.
NZD/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy

Like the bullish trend line on the AUD/USD, the NZD/USD 4hr Chart has also broken.  We will still keep track of general support and watch for a third test of the potential bearish trend line on the Daily Chart, but otherwise we need to watch for a brand new formation to emerge.

Since this trend line was the strongest of those that has recently broken, we will also watch for an opportunity to go short near the broken trend line if the pair rallies.

Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 2Potential bearish trend lineSee Daily Chart
Resistance 1Broken trend lineSee 4hr Chart
Current Price0.7853
Support 10.7457Two significant lows on the 4hr Chart
Support 20.7370Significant low on the Daily Chart
Support 3N/AN/A
  • Daily Chart - 0.7370 may provide support.
  • 4hr Chart - Broken bullish trend line.

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The information, including Commentary and Trade Ideas, provided on FX360.com should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research which should be performed before making your investment decisions. Global Futures & Forex, Ltd. (“GFT Markets”) and FX360.com is merely providing this information for your general information. The information and opinions presented do not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. Any projections or views of the market provided by FX360.com may not prove to be accurate.

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TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
EUR/AUD
Medium term



Buy Buy at 1.3240
Stop at 1.317
Target at 1.337
There are currently no trades in progress.
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

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