CURRENCYCURRENT BIASPOTENTIAL STRATEGY
EUR/USD (Short Term)
Rates currently near 1.3100 handle, in the middle of 1.3025 - 1.3225 range. See full report for more details.
GBP/USD (Short Term)
Yesterday's bullish trade invalidated, rates pulling back to key support at bullish trend line 1.5800
USD/JPY (Short Term)
Rates testing round handle support at 76.00, within "Intervention Red Zone." See full report for more details.
USD/CHF (Short Term)
Rallying after finding support at .9115, resistance looms at .9225. See full support for more details.
USD/CAD (Short Term)
Trade in Progress: Sold USD/CAD at .9990, stop at 1.0078, target at .9905
AUD/USD (Short Term)
Falling after test of key long-term resistance at 1.0750, support eyed at 1.0680, bullish trend line.
NZD/USD (Short Term)
Consolidating at 4-month highs, support anticipated at .8300 round handle, bullish trend line. See full report for more details
  • EUR/USD
  • GBP/USD
  • USD/JPY
  • USD/CHF
  • USD/CAD
  • AUD/USD
  • NZD/USD
EUR/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Rates currently near 1.3100 handle, in the middle of 1.3025 - 1.3225 range. See full report for more details.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The EUR/USD bounced yesterday, running to the round 1.3200 handle before encountering resistance. Thus far this morning, the pair has pulled back off this resistance level despite news that China may support the euro in the future. To the downside, bears will try to push the pair down to support at 1.3025, with the central monthly pivot level located just below at 1.2969. Meanwhile, key resistance at 1.3200 is likely to cap any intraday rallies.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.3225Previous resistance
Resistance 11.3200Round handle resistance
Current Price1.3106
Support 11.3025Previous support
Support 21.3000Key psychological support
Support 31.2969Monthly Pivot
GBP/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Yesterday's bullish trade invalidated, rates pulling back to key support at bullish trend line 1.5800
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The GBP/USD has primarily consolidated in the mid-1.58s over the past 24 hours, though the pair is inching back toward previous resistance at 1.5800 this morning. Yesterday’s buy trade idea was never triggered as the pair never quite reached the entry level at 1.5805, and the trade is now considered invalidated. More aggressive traders may look for buying opportunities off the 1.5800 handle and bullish trend line support, but be aware that trade may stagnate ahead of tomorrow’s highly-anticipated Non-Farm Payroll announcement.

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Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.5937Monthly R1 Pivot
Resistance 11.5885Previous resistance
Current Price1.5821
Support 11.5800Round handle support
Support 21.5710Previous support
Support 3tbd
USD/JPY (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Rates testing round handle support at 76.00, within "Intervention Red Zone." See full report for more details.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/JPY inched lower over the past 24 hours but remained above the round 76.00 handle amidst ongoing jawboning from BOJ policymakers. Looking at the recent price action, the bears seem determined to press the pair lower until the BOJ intervenes. More aggressive traders may want to look for long positions, speculating on potential intervention, but we will stand aside for now until the technical picture is clearer.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 276.86Monthly Pivot
Resistance 176.60Previous support, now resistance
Current Price76.08
Support 176.00Monthly S2 Pivot
Support 275.55All-time Low
Support 3tbd
USD/CHF (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Rallying after finding support at .9115, resistance looms at .9225. See full support for more details.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CHF rallied overnight after finding support at the key .9115 support level mentioned in yesterday’s report. The bounce is now approaching the key resistance barrier at .9225, where sellers are likely to make their stand. As long as rates remain locked within the .9115-.9225 range, the near-term bias will remain neutral, but a close below this range would pave the way for further drops, potentially down to key psychological support at .9000. To the topside, a conclusive break above .9225 would open the door for a further continuation up to .9312.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3.9400Previous support, now resistance
Resistance 2.9312Monthly Pivot
Resistance 1.9225Previous resistance
Current Price.9190
Support 1.9115Previous support
Support 2.9100Round handle
Support 3.9000Key psychological support
USD/CAD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Trade in Progress: Sold USD/CAD at .9990, stop at 1.0078, target at .9905
What is the trend?Down
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CAD continues to consolidated around parity (1.00). Our short trade from Wednesday remains open with a stop at 1.0078 and a target at .9905. At this point, the trade is likely to remain open into tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payroll announcement, so more conservative traders may want to consider closing the trade out at some point today. However, the longer-term technical picture remains bearish, and we will look to let this trade run with a stop above key resistance at 1.0078. Stay tuned to FX360 for any potential trade updates over the next 24 hours.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0070Previous resistance
Resistance 11.0000Key psychological resistance
Current Price.9997
Support 1.9900Previous support
Support 2.9895Monthly S1 Pivot
Support 3tbd
AUD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Falling after test of key long-term resistance at 1.0750, support eyed at 1.0680, bullish trend line.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The AUD/USD inched higher during yesterday’s North American session and eventually rallied into key resistance at 1.0750. The rally stalled out a few pips above that level, and as of writing, the pair is again trading under 1.0700, around near-term resistance-turned-support at 1.0680. A break below 1.0680 would signal the potential for more weakness down to the bullish trend line (see 4hr chart below), which has been successfully tested on five occasions in the past three weeks.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 11.0750Previous resistance
Current Price1.0701
Support 11.0680Previous resistance, now support
Support 2~1.0630 (currently)Bullish trend line support
Support 31.0500Round handle support
NZD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Consolidating at 4-month highs, support anticipated at .8300 round handle, bullish trend line. See full report for more details
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The technical picture for the Kiwi is very similar to that of its antipodean cousin. The pair broke out to new significant highs above the round .8300 handle yesterday, but has since pulled back modestly. Support is anticipated if rates drop to previous resistance at .8300, or at the nearby bullish trend line support. Only a break and close below this trend line would turn the near-term bias neutral for additional consolidation.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 1.8345Previous resistance
Current Price.8328
Support 1.8300Round handle support
Support 2.8240Previous resistance, now support
Support 3.8097Monthly Pivot

DISCLAIMER: The information provided below should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. FX360 .com is merely providing these views for your general information. The information presented in the views below does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. We generally encourage readers and clients not to risk more than 3% of their account on any single trade. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate.

FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com

NOTE: All trade ideas on FX360.com are hypothetical. FX360.com has not placed these ideas in a live trading environment. Forex Trading involves high risks, with the potential for substantial losses that exceed your initial deposit and is not suitable for all persons. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

CD01BK.035.103009


The information, including Commentary and Trade Ideas, provided on FX360.com should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research which should be performed before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading and FX360 .com is merely providing this information for your general information. The information and opinions presented do not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. Any projections or views of the market provided by FX360.com may not prove to be accurate.

The views of the authors and analysts are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.

TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
GBP/CHF
Medium term



Buy Buy at 1.4766
Stop at 1.4703
Target at 1.4861
AUD/USD
Medium term



Sell Sell at .9839
Stop at 0.9865
Target at 0.9801
USD/JPY
Medium term



Sell Sell at 80.3800
Stop at 80.63
Target at 80
currency trade idea
EUR/JPY
Medium term
Opened 5/23/2012
Sell Short from 99.9000
Stop at 101.55
Target at 98.1
AUD/NZD
Medium term
Opened 5/21/2012
Sell Short from 1.2985
Stop at 1.307
Target at 1.2855
EUR/CHF
Long term
Opened 1/30/2012
Buy Long from 1.2055
Stop at 1.199
Target at 1.2225
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

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