CURRENCYCURRENT BIASPOTENTIAL STRATEGY
EUR/USD (Short Term)
Bouncing from recent lows, room for rally up to resistance from 1.3200-25.
GBP/USD (Short Term)
Buy if rates pull back to 1.5805, stop at 1.5702, target at 1.5885
USD/JPY (Short Term)
Rates testing round handle support at 76.00, within "Intervention Red Zone." See full report for more details.
USD/CHF (Short Term)
Falling after test of .9225 resistance, near-term support eyed at .9115
USD/CAD (Short Term)
Trade in Progress: Sold USD/CAD at .9990, stop at 1.0078, target at .9905
AUD/USD (Short Term)
Testing key resistance near Monthly R2 pivot (1.0668), break above to target move to 6-month highs near 1.0750
NZD/USD (Short Term)
Breaking above .8300 round handle resistance, room for further rallies if bulls maintain control
  • EUR/USD
  • GBP/USD
  • USD/JPY
  • USD/CHF
  • USD/CAD
  • AUD/USD
  • NZD/USD
EUR/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Bouncing from recent lows, room for rally up to resistance from 1.3200-25.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Bullish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The EUR/USD pulled back overnight before bottoming ahead of the round 1.30 handle and surging during today’s European session on the back of short covering and strong PMI data. As of writing, the unit is trading above 1.3100 and has just completed a Bullish Pin Candle, indicating strong bullish momentum and the potential for a further continuation during today’s North American session. To the topside, resistance is anticipated from 1.3200-25, whereas support is likely to emerge near this morning’s lows at 1.3025.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.3225Previous resistance
Resistance 11.3200Round handle resistance
Current Price1.3138
Support 11.3025Previous support
Support 21.3000Key psychological support
Support 3tbd
GBP/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Buy if rates pull back to 1.5805, stop at 1.5702, target at 1.5885
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?Bullish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The GBP/USD pulled back to bullish trend line support overnight before following the euro higher in early European session dealing. From a candlestick perspective, the pair just put in a Bullish Marubozu Candle on the 4hr chart, indicating strong bullish momentum. With rates breaking above key previous / round handle resistance at 1.5800, there may be a chance to join in on the bullish momentum on a near-term pullback

Specifically, traders could set a limit buy order at 1.5805 (above support at 1.5800) with a stop at 1.5702 (below today’s low) and a target at 1.5885, just under the mid-November 2011 high).

Trade Invalidation
This trade would be invalidated by a rally above 1.5860 prior to entry or if not triggered during today’s North American session (17:00 Eastern, 22:00 GMT).
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 11.5885Previous resistance
Current Price1.5834
Support 11.5800Round handle support
Support 21.5710Previous support
Support 3tbd
USD/JPY (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Rates testing round handle support at 76.00, within "Intervention Red Zone." See full report for more details.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/JPY continues to grind lower, much to the chagrin of BOJ policymakers. From a technical perspective the pair appears to finding a modicum of support at the round 76.00 handle, but the bears seem determined to press the pair lower until the BOJ intervenes. More aggressive traders may want to look for long positions, speculating on potential intervention, but we will stand aside for now until the technical picture is clearer.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 276.86Monthly Pivot
Resistance 176.60Previous support, now resistance
Current Price76.07
Support 176.00Monthly S2 Pivot
Support 275.55All-time Low
Support 3tbd
USD/CHF (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Falling after test of .9225 resistance, near-term support eyed at .9115
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Bearish Pin Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Bearish Pin (Pinnochio) candle, or inverted hammer, is formed when prices rally within the candle before sellers step in and push prices back down to close near the open. It suggests the potential for a bearish continuation if the low of the candle is broken.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CHF bounced overnight before encountering stiff resistance near previous highs in the .9225. The pair has dropped sharply this morning and now sits directly in the middle of the past week’s range from .9115-.9225. As long as rates remain locked within this range, the near-term bias will remain neutral, but a close below this range would pave the way for further drops, potentially down to key psychological support at .9000.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3.9400Previous support, now resistance
Resistance 2.9312Monthly Pivot
Resistance 1.9225Previous resistance
Current Price.9167
Support 1.9115Previous support
Support 2.9100Round handle
Support 3.9000Key psychological support
USD/CAD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Trade in Progress: Sold USD/CAD at .9990, stop at 1.0078, target at .9905
What is the trend?Down
What is this pattern?Bearish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CAD primarily consolidated yesterday after bouncing early in the North American morning. Now rates are showing signs that the downtrend has resumed, with the pair forming a clear Bearish Marubozu candle on the 4hr chart. Our short opportunity from yesterday triggered, leaving us short from .9990, and rates are now consolidating near entry. We remain bearish biased with room down to previous support at .9900 over the next few days. Stay tuned to FX360 for any trade updates that do emerge.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0070Previous resistance
Resistance 11.0000Key psychological resistance
Current Price.9993
Support 1.9900Previous support
Support 2tbd
Support 3tbd
AUD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Testing key resistance near Monthly R2 pivot (1.0668), break above to target move to 6-month highs near 1.0750
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Bullish Pin Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Bullish Pin (Pinnochio) candle, also known as a hammer or paper umbrella, is formed when prices fall within the candle before buyers step in and push prices back up to close near the open. It suggests the potential for a bullish continuation if the high of the candle is broken.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The Aussie pulled back perfectly to bullish trend line support overnight before rallying during today’s European session. Rates formed a Bullish Pin Candle off the trend line for the 5th consecutive time, foreshadowing this morning’s rally. As of writing, rates are testing resistance at 1.0680, a level which has capped rates on 3 occasions in the past week. A break above this ceiling would turn the bias bullish for a test of 6-month highs near 1.0750. Meanwhile, any pullbacks that emerge from this barrier are likely to find support at the bullish trend line; stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for buying opportunities if we do see the AUD/USD pull back once again.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0750Previous resistance
Resistance 11.0680Previous resistance
Current Price1.0672
Support 11.0560Previous support
Support 21.0500Round handle support
Support 31.0476Monthly Pivot
NZD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Breaking above .8300 round handle resistance, room for further rallies if bulls maintain control
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?Bullish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The Kiwi also rallied during today’s European session after pulling back slightly overnight. The pair found a floor at previous-resistance-turned-support at .8240 before staging the rally and now appears set to break above round handle resistance at .8300. A break above .8300 would be very bullish and suggest potential for further rallies over the course of the day.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 1.8300Round handle resistance
Current Price.8300
Support 1.8240Previous resistance, now support
Support 2.8119.8097
Support 3Monthly PivotRound handle support

DISCLAIMER: The information provided below should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. FX360 .com is merely providing these views for your general information. The information presented in the views below does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. We generally encourage readers and clients not to risk more than 3% of their account on any single trade. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate.

FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com

NOTE: All trade ideas on FX360.com are hypothetical. FX360.com has not placed these ideas in a live trading environment. Forex Trading involves high risks, with the potential for substantial losses that exceed your initial deposit and is not suitable for all persons. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

CD01BK.035.103009


The information, including Commentary and Trade Ideas, provided on FX360.com should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research which should be performed before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading and FX360 .com is merely providing this information for your general information. The information and opinions presented do not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. Any projections or views of the market provided by FX360.com may not prove to be accurate.

The views of the authors and analysts are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.

TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
GBP/CHF
Medium term



Buy Buy at 1.4766
Stop at 1.4703
Target at 1.4861
AUD/USD
Medium term



Sell Sell at .9839
Stop at 0.9865
Target at 0.9801
USD/JPY
Medium term



Sell Sell at 80.3800
Stop at 80.63
Target at 80
currency trade idea
EUR/JPY
Medium term
Opened 5/23/2012
Sell Short from 99.9000
Stop at 101.55
Target at 98.1
AUD/NZD
Medium term
Opened 5/21/2012
Sell Short from 1.2985
Stop at 1.307
Target at 1.2855
EUR/CHF
Long term
Opened 1/30/2012
Buy Long from 1.2055
Stop at 1.199
Target at 1.2225
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

MARKET NEWS ALERTS

Receive daily commentary, technical analysis reports and potential strategies from Kathy Lien, Boris Schlossberg, David Morrision and their team of technical analysts.
  • Your first name:
  • Your last name:
Your email address:




Already getting alerts but don't have a FX360 account? Manage your subscriptions by creating an account now.

Already have an account? Manage your subscription here.

CENTRAL BANK RATES