CURRENCYCURRENT BIASPOTENTIAL STRATEGY
EUR/USD (Short Term)
Consolidating between near-term support at 1.3075 and 2012 highs at 1.3225, see full report for more details
GBP/USD (Short Term)
Yesterday's buy trade hit profit target this morning, bias bullish above key previous resistance at 1.5775
USD/JPY (Short Term)
Rates consolidating at 76.30, within "Intervention Red Zone." See full report for more details.
USD/CHF (Short Term)
Retesting monthly pivot support at .9116 after failing to break above .9225 resistance
USD/CAD (Short Term)
Sell if USD/CAD bounce to .9990, stop at 1.0078, target at .9905
AUD/USD (Short Term)
Testing key resistance near Monthly R2 pivot (1.0668), break above to target move to 6-month highs near 1.0750
NZD/USD (Short Term)
At new 4-month highs above .8240 resistance, bias bullish above .8240. See full report for more details.
  • EUR/USD
  • GBP/USD
  • USD/JPY
  • USD/CHF
  • USD/CAD
  • AUD/USD
  • NZD/USD
EUR/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Consolidating between near-term support at 1.3075 and 2012 highs at 1.3225, see full report for more details
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The EUR/USD bounced overnight on better-than-expected data out of Germany, but stalled out ahead of the 2012 highs at 1.3225. The price action shows that rates pulled back perfectly to support at 1.3075 before rallying yesterday, confirming that area as a key support level moving forward. As of right now, rates appear to be consolidating within the zone from 1.3075 up to 1.3225; a break of this zone would likely lead to a strong continuation in the direction of the break.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 11.3225Previous resistance
Current Price1.3184
Support 11.3075Previous resistance, now support
Support 21.3000Key psychological support
Support 3tbd
GBP/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Yesterday's buy trade hit profit target this morning, bias bullish above key previous resistance at 1.5775
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?Bullish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

After pulling back yesterday, the GBP/USD found support at the bullish trend line and extended its rally further overnight. The stop buy trade from yesterday’s report was triggered just ahead of the North American close, and rates quickly rallied up to the profit target at 1.5758 overnight. As the pair hit the profit target, prices formed a Bullish Marubozu Candle on the 4hr chart, indicating strong bullish momentum as the strong resistance at 1.5775 was taken out. For the rest of the day, the bias will remain bullish for further rallies as long as the unit can hold above the key 1.5775 level.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 11.5900Previous resistance
Current Price1.5775
Support 11.5775Previous resistance, now support
Support 21.5650Previous support
Support 3tbd
USD/JPY (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Rates consolidating at 76.30, within "Intervention Red Zone." See full report for more details.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

USD/JPY dropped to new 3-month lows below 76.60 support yesterday as traders sold the Greenback against all comers. This leaves rates in the “Intervention Red Zone” where the BOJ is more likely to intervene and cause a rapid spike higher in the pair. Though trade in the pair has essentially stagnated near 76.30 over the past 20 hours, we will continue to closely watch for comments and actions out of Japan. For more on the intervention, and potential impact on all XXX/JPY pairs, see yesterday’s feature article “Rising Intervention Risk Prompts Two Stop Adjustments.”

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 377.68Monthly R1 Pivot
Resistance 277.32Monthly Pivot
Resistance 176.60Previous support, now resistance
Current Price76.40
Support 175.97Monthly S2 Pivot
Support 275.55All-time Low
Support 3tbd
USD/CHF (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Retesting monthly pivot support at .9116 after failing to break above .9225 resistance
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

Yesterday’s USD/CHF bounce stalled out at 4hr bearish trend line resistance, and the pair has now turned lower to test 2-month lows near .9116. As mentioned in yesterday’s report, the .9116 level also represents the monthly S1 pivot, a leading area of support for the pair that will serve as a key area to watch for the remainder of the week. If the bears are able to push the pair to close under this level, a further continuation down to .9000 becomes likely.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3.9400Previous support, now resistance
Resistance 2.9332Monthly Pivot
Resistance 1.9225Previous resistance
Current Price.9136
Support 1.9116Monthly S1 Pivot
Support 2.9100Round handle
Support 3tbd
USD/CAD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Sell if USD/CAD bounce to .9990, stop at 1.0078, target at .9905
What is the trend?Down
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CAD reversed during yesterday’s North American session as the oversold bounce was unable to break above key previous-support-turned-resistance at 1.0070. During today’s early European session, the pair finally broke conclusively below parity (1.00), a key psychological support and looks like it may have room for further drops toward previous lows at .9900. Looking to sell the USD/CAD at market may make sense for some traders, but the risk/reward ratio would be greatly improved by waiting for a quick bounce and retest of 1.00.

In order to take advantage if such a bounce occurs, traders could set a limit sell order at .9990 (just under anticipated resistance at parity) with a stop at 1.0078 (above the key 1.0070 level) and a target at .9905 (prior to the previous lows at .9900).

Trade Invalidation
This trade would be invalidated by a drop down to .9925 prior to entry, or if not triggered in the next 24 hours.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0070Previous resistance
Resistance 11.0000Key psychological resistance
Current Price.9975
Support 1.9900Previous support
Support 2tbd
Support 3tbd
AUD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Testing key resistance near Monthly R2 pivot (1.0668), break above to target move to 6-month highs near 1.0750
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The Aussie rallied against the U.S. Dollar yesterday after rates formed a Bullish Pin Candle off trend line support. As of right now, the pair is testing resistance near the Monthly R2 pivot at 1.0668, though a break above this ceiling would turn the bias bullish for a test of 6-month highs near 1.0750. Meanwhile, any pullbacks that emerge from this barrier are likely to find support at the bullish trend line; stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for buying opportunities if we do see the AUD/USD pull back.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0750Previous resistance
Resistance 11.0668Monthly R2 Pivot
Current Price1.0654
Support 11.0520Previous support
Support 21.0500Round handle support
Support 31.0439Monthly R1 Pivot
NZD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
At new 4-month highs above .8240 resistance, bias bullish above .8240. See full report for more details.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The Kiwi also traded rallied during today’s European session, confirming the break above key previous resistance at .8240 and leaving the pair at fresh 4-month highs. Rates have paused under the round .8300 handle thus far this morning, but the strong break of .8240 suggests that the bulls remain in control of trade. The bias will remain bullish, and buying opportunities will be favored, as long as the pair remains above .8240.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2.8300Round handle resistance
Resistance 1.8240Previous resistance
Current Price.8275
Support 1.8240Previous resistance, now support
Support 2.8119Monthly R2 Pivot
Support 3.8000Round handle support

DISCLAIMER: The information provided below should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. FX360 .com is merely providing these views for your general information. The information presented in the views below does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. We generally encourage readers and clients not to risk more than 3% of their account on any single trade. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate.

FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com

NOTE: All trade ideas on FX360.com are hypothetical. FX360.com has not placed these ideas in a live trading environment. Forex Trading involves high risks, with the potential for substantial losses that exceed your initial deposit and is not suitable for all persons. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

CD01BK.035.103009


The information, including Commentary and Trade Ideas, provided on FX360.com should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research which should be performed before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading and FX360 .com is merely providing this information for your general information. The information and opinions presented do not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. Any projections or views of the market provided by FX360.com may not prove to be accurate.

The views of the authors and analysts are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.

TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
GBP/CHF
Medium term



Buy Buy at 1.4766
Stop at 1.4703
Target at 1.4861
AUD/USD
Medium term



Sell Sell at .9839
Stop at 0.9865
Target at 0.9801
USD/JPY
Medium term



Sell Sell at 80.3800
Stop at 80.63
Target at 80
currency trade idea
EUR/JPY
Medium term
Opened 5/23/2012
Sell Short from 99.9000
Stop at 101.55
Target at 98.1
AUD/NZD
Medium term
Opened 5/21/2012
Sell Short from 1.2985
Stop at 1.307
Target at 1.2855
EUR/CHF
Long term
Opened 1/30/2012
Buy Long from 1.2055
Stop at 1.199
Target at 1.2225
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

MARKET NEWS ALERTS

Receive daily commentary, technical analysis reports and potential strategies from Kathy Lien, Boris Schlossberg, David Morrision and their team of technical analysts.
  • Your first name:
  • Your last name:
Your email address:




Already getting alerts but don't have a FX360 account? Manage your subscriptions by creating an account now.

Already have an account? Manage your subscription here.

CENTRAL BANK RATES