CURRENCYCURRENT BIASPOTENTIAL STRATEGY
EUR/USD (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to go long at the bottom of the bullish channel.
GBP/USD (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to go long near the bullish trend line.
USD/JPY (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge; a drop below 75.50 would be very bearish.
USD/CHF (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
USD/CAD (Medium Term)
Sell USD/CAD at 1.0105. Stop at 1.0130. Profit target at 1.0055.
AUD/USD (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to go long near the bullish trend line.
NZD/USD (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
  • EUR/USD
  • GBP/USD
  • USD/JPY
  • USD/CHF
  • USD/CAD
  • AUD/USD
  • NZD/USD
EUR/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to go long at the bottom of the bullish channel.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy
The EUR/USD is rallying within a bullish channel on the 2hr Chart.  The channel is wide enough so that a pattern could form that would allow us to go long near the bottom of the channel.  Otherwise, the broken trend line and general Fibonacci ratios on the Weekly Chart are quickly becoming irrelevant, and we will watch for something new to form on a longer term chart.
Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 2N/AN/A
Resistance 1Top of bullish channelSee 2hr Chart
Current Price1.3138
Support 1Bottom of bullish channelSee 2hr Chart
Support 21.253278.6% of YZ on the Weekly Chart
Support 31.1876100% of YZ on the Weekly Chart
  • Weekly Chart - It looks unlikely that 61.8% of YZ provided any resistance.
  • 2hr Chart - Bullish channel.
GBP/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to go long near the bullish trend line.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy

The GBP/USD has continued to rally above the bullish trend line on the 2hr Chart   The beginning of this trend line occurred near 1.5330, which has provided strong support several times on the Weekly Chart.  Therefore, we have a bullish bias for this pair, and we will watch for new bullish patterns that would allow us to go long near the trend line.

Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 2N/AN/A
Resistance 1N/AN/A
Current Price1.5706
Support 1Bullish trend lineSee 2hr Chart
Support 21.5330See Weekly Chart
Support 3N/AN/A
  • Weekly Chart - General support at 1.5330.
  • 2hr Chart - Bullish trend line.
USD/JPY (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge; a drop below 75.50 would be very bearish.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy
The USD/JPY continued to drop after the weekend open, and 76.567 has been broken.  The pair is currently testing the significant low at 76.392.  If the pair continues to break below these lows, there could be a very sharp drop.  However, there is also a chance that one of these levels will provide support, especially if there is intervention.  Therefore, it is too early to watch for a continued drop, but a move below 75.50 would be very bearish.
Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 2N/AN/A
Resistance 1N/AN/A
Current Price76.36
Support 176.567Signficant low on the Daily Chart
Support 276.392Significant low on the Weekly Chart
Support 375.563Signifcant low on the Daily Chart
  • Weekly Chart - Will 76.392 see further support?
  • Daily Chart - Where will we see support?
USD/CHF (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CHF finished its third straight week down.  This has only happened one other time since the pair broke above the bearish trend line on the Weekly Chart.  The last time it happened, the pair rallied right back up and move was a brief pullback.  So, it is not surprising that we have seen a small pullback early this week.  However, if the pair makes a new low below this week's close, it could indicate that the pair may be in for a deeper retracement down this time.

We also have drawn a new bearish trend line on the 4hr Chart, but it is very weak since there are only two points of contact.  A third accurate point of contact, however, would lead to a strong bearish trend line.

Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 2N/AN/A
Resistance 1Bearish trend lineSee 4hr Chart
Current Price0.9172
Support 1Broken trend lineSee Weekly Chart
Support 2N/AN/A
Support 3N/AN/A
  • Weekly Chart - Three straight weeks down; will the pair rally this week?
  • 4hr Chart - Bearish trend line.
USD/CAD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Sell USD/CAD at 1.0105. Stop at 1.0130. Profit target at 1.0055.
What is the trend?Down
What is this pattern?Bearish Gartley - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?Multiple levels of resistance are converging near our entry at 1.0105.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?Bearish trend line on the 8hr Chart.
Reason for Strategy
A bearish Gartley pattern is forming on the USD/CAD 4hr Chart.  The pattern has nice price symmetry, although it is too early to judge its time symmetry.  For proper time symmetry, we would like the CD to rally with approximately the same slope as the AB leg.  The trade would idea would enter within the context a a downtrend, which includes a bearish trend line, on the 8hr Chart. 
Trade Invalidation
Trade trade idea is invalid if the pair drops to 1.0007 before reaching our entry.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 2Bearish trend lineSee 8hr Chart
Resistance 11.0105Bearish Gartley
Current Price1.0018
Support 1N/AN/A
Support 2N/AN/A
Support 3N/AN/A
  • 8hr Chart - Bearish trend line.
  • 4hr Chart - Bearish Gartley; sell at 1.0105.
AUD/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to go long near the bullish trend line.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy

The AUD/USD broke through the third test of the bearish trend line on the Daily Chart, and actually generated new support after the break out.  Therefore, the focus will continue to be on the 8hr Chart bullish trend line.  Another new bullish pattern may be in the early stages of developing, so tomorrow there may be a nice opportunity to go long near the trend line.

Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 21.1080100% of XA on the Daily Chart
Resistance 11.071778.6% of XA on the Daily Chart
Current Price1.0592
Support 1Bullish trend lineSee 8hr Chart
Support 20.967978.6% of AB on the Daily Chart
Support 30.9387100% of AB on the Daily Chart
  • Daily Chart - Broken bearish trend line.
  • 8hr Chart - Bullish trend line.
NZD/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy

The NZD/USD has seen a perfect fourth test of the bullish trend line.  Unfortunately there was no pattern that allowed us to go long at this test, but it is still advantageous to have yet another successful test.  Now we have a very strong bullish trend line to work with.  We will watch for a new bullish patterns to emerge that would allow us to go long near the bullish trend line. 

However, the pair is also testing the  significant high at point X on the Daily Chart.  Therefore, either significant high or the bullish trend line will have to break in the near future.  If point X holds and the pair ends up breaking below the trend line, then we will reverse our view and watch for bearish patterns to emerge.

Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 30.8779161.8% of XA on the Daily Chart
Resistance 20.8478127.2% of XA on the Daily Chart
Resistance 10.8241100% of XA on the Daily Chart
Current Price0.8194
Support 1Bullish trend lineSee 8hr Chart
Support 20.770661.8% of AB on the Daily Chart
Support 30.755878.6% of AB on the Daily Chart
  • Daily Chart - Will we see some resistance at point X?
  • 8hr Chart - Bullish trend line.

DISCLAIMER: The information provided below should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. FX360 .com is merely providing these views for your general information. The information presented in the views below does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. We generally encourage readers and clients not to risk more than 3% of their account on any single trade. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate.

FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com

NOTE: All trade ideas on FX360.com are hypothetical. FX360.com has not placed these ideas in a live trading environment. Forex Trading involves high risks, with the potential for substantial losses that exceed your initial deposit and is not suitable for all persons. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

CD01BK.036.103009


The information, including Commentary and Trade Ideas, provided on FX360.com should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research which should be performed before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading and FX360 .com is merely providing this information for your general information. The information and opinions presented do not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. Any projections or views of the market provided by FX360.com may not prove to be accurate.

The views of the authors and analysts are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.

TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
GBP/CHF
Medium term



Buy Buy at 1.4766
Stop at 1.4703
Target at 1.4861
AUD/USD
Medium term



Sell Sell at .9839
Stop at 0.9865
Target at 0.9801
USD/JPY
Medium term



Sell Sell at 80.3800
Stop at 80.63
Target at 80
currency trade idea
EUR/JPY
Medium term
Opened 5/23/2012
Sell Short from 99.9000
Stop at 101.55
Target at 98.1
AUD/NZD
Medium term
Opened 5/21/2012
Sell Short from 1.2985
Stop at 1.307
Target at 1.2855
EUR/CHF
Long term
Opened 1/30/2012
Buy Long from 1.2055
Stop at 1.199
Target at 1.2225
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

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