CURRENCYCURRENT BIASPOTENTIAL STRATEGY
EUR/USD (Short Term)
Breaking below bullish trend line, but support anticipated at 1.3075. See full report for more details.
GBP/USD (Short Term)
Buy if GBP/USD breaks above 1.5706, stop at 1.5648, target at 1.5758.
USD/JPY (Short Term)
Rates consolidating above 76.60 support
USD/CHF (Short Term)
Bouncing from monthly pivot support at .9116, resistance looming in the .9200-25 zone
USD/CAD (Short Term)
Testing key previous-support-turned-resistance at 1.0070, bias bearish below this level
AUD/USD (Short Term)
Testing bullish trend line support, bulls may push rates up to resistance at 1.0650
NZD/USD (Short Term)
Falling from test of 4-month highs at .8240, see full report for more details
  • EUR/USD
  • GBP/USD
  • USD/JPY
  • USD/CHF
  • USD/CAD
  • AUD/USD
  • NZD/USD
EUR/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Breaking below bullish trend line, but support anticipated at 1.3075. See full report for more details.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The EUR/USD gapped slightly higher before selling off relentlessly throughout the Asian and European sessions as policymakers were unable to come to an accord on the Greek PSI deal. The pair has now dropped below 4hr bullish trend line support and is currently testing the monthly pivot at 1.3121. For the rest of the day, bears will try to push the EUR/USD down to test minor support at 1.3075, while bulls will try to regain momentum above 1.3121.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 11.3200Previous resistance
Current Price1.3104
Support 11.3075Previous resistance, now support
Support 21.3000Key psychological support
Support 3tbd
GBP/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Buy if GBP/USD breaks above 1.5706, stop at 1.5648, target at 1.5758.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?Piercing Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Piercing Candle is formed when one candle opens near the bottom of the previous candle’s range, but buyers step in and push rates up to close in the upper half of the previous candle’s range. It suggests a potential trend reversal.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The GBP/USD, on the other hand, has been able to find support off its bullish trend line thus far this week and overall, looks more bullish than its mainland cousin, the euro. The pair put in a clear piercing candle formation during the early European session, indicating support and a potential reversal off the bullish trend line.

The bullish candlestick formation and clear trend line suggest the potential for a short-term buy trade. Specifically, traders could set a stop buy at 1.5706 (above the round 1.5700 handle) with a stop at 1.5648 (below this week’s low) and a target at 1.5758 (near the monthly R1 pivot and triple top resistance at 1.5775).

Trade Invalidation
This trade would be invalidated by a drop below 1.5648 prior to entry or if not triggered by the end of today’s North American session (17:00 eastern, 22:00 GMT).
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 31.5775Triple top resistance
Resistance 21.5758Monthly R1 Pivot
Resistance 11.5700Round handle resistance
Current Price1.5682
Support 11.5650Previous support
Support 21.5560Monthly Pivot
Support 31.5400Round handle support
USD/JPY (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Rates consolidating above 76.60 support
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

USD/JPY has consolidated thus far today after falling sharply to close last week. As of writing, rates are consolidating just above key longer-term support at 76.60. To the downside, support is anticipated near the previous significant lows at 76.60, while any rallies that emerge are likely to be capped by the monthly pivot at 77.32.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 378.20Previous Resistance
Resistance 277.68Monthly R1 Pivot
Resistance 177.32Monthly Pivot
Current Price76.68
Support 176.57Nov. 17 Low
Support 276.43Monthly S1 Pivot
Support 3tbd
USD/CHF (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Bouncing from monthly pivot support at .9116, resistance looming in the .9200-25 zone
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

USD/CHF has continued its trend of trading inversely to the EUR/USD, generally rallying thus far this morning. Rates found a floor directly at the monthly S1 pivot at 0.9116, and the bounce is now approaching round handle resistance at .9200. As we mentioned in this week’s technical preview report, the .9100 level represents key support and may yet lead to a more significant bounce. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any trades that do emerge.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3.9400Previous support, now resistance
Resistance 2.9332Monthly Pivot
Resistance 1.9225Previous resistance
Current Price.9191
Support 1.9116Monthly S1 Pivot
Support 2.9100Round handle
Support 3tbd
USD/CAD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Testing key previous-support-turned-resistance at 1.0070, bias bearish below this level
What is the trend?Down
What is this pattern?Dark Cloud Cover - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Dark Cloud Cover is formed when one candle opens near the top of the previous candle’s range, but sellers step in and push rates down to close in the lower half of the previous candle’s range. It suggests a potential trend reversal.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CAD bounced during last night’s Asian and early European sessions after closing last week directly at key psychological support at parity (1.00). However, the pair is showing some signs of weakness after trading up to critical previous-support-turned-resistance at 1.0070. Rates recently put in a Dark Cloud Cover formation on the 4hr chart, signaling resistance and a potential shift to bearish momentum. At this point, the odds favor a drop back to parity (1.00) as long as resistance at 1.0070 holds.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0150Previous resistance
Resistance 11.0070Previous support, now resistance
Current Price1.0055
Support 11.0000Key psychological support
Support 2.9900Previous support
Support 3tbd
AUD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Testing bullish trend line support, bulls may push rates up to resistance at 1.0650
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Bullish Pin Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Bullish Pin (Pinnochio) candle, also known as a hammer or paper umbrella, is formed when prices fall within the candle before buyers step in and push prices back up to close near the open. It suggests the potential for a bullish continuation if the high of the candle is broken.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The Aussie also fell against the Greenback so far today on disappointment on the lack of progress in Greek debt negotiations. Technically, the pair recently completed a Bullish Pin Candle, or hammer, formation on the 4hr chart; this candlestick formation is often seen at reversal points and would confirm a transition to buying pressure if the high at 1.0570 is eclipsed. If rates drop below today’s low, it would signal a failed pattern and suggest a strong bearish continuation toward the Monthly R1 pivot at 1.0439.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0750Previous resistance
Resistance 11.0668Monthly R2 Pivot
Current Price1.0545
Support 11.0520Previous support
Support 21.0500Round handle support
Support 31.0439Monthly R1 Pivot
NZD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Falling from test of 4-month highs at .8240, see full report for more details
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The Kiwi traded in-line with its larger antipodean brother overnight, falling consistently after opening this week near where last week closed. The pair ended last week at fresh 4-month highs above .8240, but bulls were unable to maintain momentum. Looking forward, bears will target key previous-resistance-turned-support at .8119, which also represents the monthly R2 pivot.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 1.8240Previous resistance
Current Price.8171
Support 1.8119Monthly R2 Pivot
Support 2.8050Previous support
Support 3.8000Round handle support

DISCLAIMER: The information provided below should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. FX360 .com is merely providing these views for your general information. The information presented in the views below does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. We generally encourage readers and clients not to risk more than 3% of their account on any single trade. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate.

FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com

NOTE: All trade ideas on FX360.com are hypothetical. FX360.com has not placed these ideas in a live trading environment. Forex Trading involves high risks, with the potential for substantial losses that exceed your initial deposit and is not suitable for all persons. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

CD01BK.035.103009


The information, including Commentary and Trade Ideas, provided on FX360.com should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research which should be performed before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading and FX360 .com is merely providing this information for your general information. The information and opinions presented do not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. Any projections or views of the market provided by FX360.com may not prove to be accurate.

The views of the authors and analysts are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.

TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
GBP/CHF
Medium term



Buy Buy at 1.4766
Stop at 1.4703
Target at 1.4861
AUD/USD
Medium term



Sell Sell at .9839
Stop at 0.9865
Target at 0.9801
USD/JPY
Medium term



Sell Sell at 80.3800
Stop at 80.63
Target at 80
currency trade idea
EUR/JPY
Medium term
Opened 5/23/2012
Sell Short from 99.9000
Stop at 101.55
Target at 98.1
AUD/NZD
Medium term
Opened 5/21/2012
Sell Short from 1.2985
Stop at 1.307
Target at 1.2855
EUR/CHF
Long term
Opened 1/30/2012
Buy Long from 1.2055
Stop at 1.199
Target at 1.2225
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

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