CURRENCYCURRENT BIASPOTENTIAL STRATEGY
EUR/USD (Short Term)
Rally breaks above monthly pivot at 1.3121, but strong resistance looms at 1.3200. See full report for more details
GBP/USD (Short Term)
Monday's trade reached profit target, break above 1.5670 resistance may point to continuation up to 1.5760. See full report for more details
USD/JPY (Short Term)
Drops rapidly, now watching support at 77.32. See full report for more details.
USD/CHF (Short Term)
Testing key support at .9180 after sharp drop
USD/CAD (Short Term)
Rates break longer-term support at 1.0070, quickly drop to parity (1.00). Bias remains bearish below 1.0070.
AUD/USD (Short Term)
Consolidating at Monthly R2 pivot resistance (1.0668), break above would signal rally potential up to 1.0750
NZD/USD (Short Term)
Yesterday's trade reached profit target this morning, rates now consolidating below key previous resistance at .8240.
  • EUR/USD
  • GBP/USD
  • USD/JPY
  • USD/CHF
  • USD/CAD
  • AUD/USD
  • NZD/USD
EUR/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Rally breaks above monthly pivot at 1.3121, but strong resistance looms at 1.3200. See full report for more details
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?Bullish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The EUR/USD surged during yesterday’s North American session on the Federal Reserve’s dour economic outlook and dovish comments. The rally formed a large Bullish Marubozu Candle on the 4hr chart, indicating strongly bullish momentum and leading to a test of monthly pivot resistance at 1.3121. At this point, the rally may be slightly overextended, but any pullbacks that do emerge are likely to find a floor near previous resistance at 1.3075, which also marks bullish trend line support. To the topside, the 1.3200 area marks previous resistance as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the December drop.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 11.3200Previous resistance
Current Price1.3144
Support 11.3075Previous resistance, now support
Support 21.300Key psychological support
Support 3tbd
GBP/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Monday's trade reached profit target, break above 1.5670 resistance may point to continuation up to 1.5760. See full report for more details
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The Pound Sterling, like all other major currencies, rallied against the greenback yesterday. Yesterday’s move took rates up through previous resistance at 1.5670, which also marked the target on our long trade from Monday. Looking ahead, the pair is currently stalling below the round 1.5700 handle; if this barrier is eclipsed, the unit may target the Monthly R1 pivot at 1.5758. From a longer-term perspective, the bias will remain bullish above the Monthly Pivot at 1.5560.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.5758Monthly R1 Pivot
Resistance 11.5700Round handle resistance
Current Price1.5673
Support 11.5560Monthly Pivot
Support 21.5400Round handle support
Support 31.5346Monthly S1 Pivot
USD/JPY (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Drops rapidly, now watching support at 77.32. See full report for more details.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

After stalling out at critical previous resistance at 78.25, the U.S. Dollar fell sharply against the Japanese Yen yesterday. As of writing, the pair is consolidating in the mid-77.00s. Any further drops may find a floor off previous-resistance-turned-support at 77.32 (which also represents the central Monthly Pivot Point), whereas rallies may be capped near minor resistance at 77.68.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 278.25Key previous resistance
Resistance 178.20Previous Resistance
Current Price77.61
Support 177.32Monthly Pivot
Support 276.57Nov. 17 Low
Support 3tbd
USD/CHF (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Testing key support at .9180 after sharp drop
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Bearish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CHF also dropped yesterday failing to break above monthly pivot point resistance mentioned in yesterday’s Candlestick Daily report. With rates currently testing key previous support at .9180, a bounce today would not be surprising. However, the longer-term downtrend will remain intact as long as rates remain below the monthly pivot at .9300. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any updates or developing trade opportunities over the course of the day.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2.9405Previous support, now resistance
Resistance 1.9332Monthly Pivot
Current Price.9177
Support 1.9180Previous support
Support 2.9116Monthly S1 Pivot
Support 3tbd
USD/CAD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Rates break longer-term support at 1.0070, quickly drop to parity (1.00). Bias remains bearish below 1.0070.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

USD/CAD finally broke below critical longer-term support at 1.0070, leading to a quick drop down to psychological support at parity (1.00). Thus far this morning, rates have found a modicum of support off this area, but the break below the longer-term descending triangle suggests a higher probability of further drops down toward .9900 over the next few days (see last week’s outlook report for more). Meanwhile to the topside, the strong previous-support-turned-resistance level at 1.0070 is likely to limit any near-term rallies that do emerge, and potentially present selling opportunities later on today.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0150Previous resistance
Resistance 11.0070Previous support, now resistance
Current Price1.0012
Support 11.0000Key psychological support
Support 2.9900Previous support
Support 3tbd
AUD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Consolidating at Monthly R2 pivot resistance (1.0668), break above would signal rally potential up to 1.0750
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Bullish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The Aussie also strengthened against the greenback yesterday after rates were unable to drop below key support at the Monthly R1 Pivot (1.0439). The pair is now trading over 200 pips above this level, with the current rally testing Monthly R2 pivot resistance at 1.0668. Note that the pair also formed a Bullish Marubozu Candle overnight, foreshadowing the early European session rally up to current levels. As with many other currency pairs, the Australian dollar could pull back today off resistance, but the longer-term uptrend remains intact.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0750Previous resistance
Resistance 11.0668Monthly R2 Pivot
Current Price1.0667
Support 11.0500Round handle support
Support 21.0439Monthly R1 Pivot
Support 31.0360Previous support
NZD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Yesterday's trade reached profit target this morning, rates now consolidating below key previous resistance at .8240.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The Kiwi was perhaps the strongest currency yesterday as rates surged after finding support in the mid-.8000s. As we outlined yesterday, the buy trade from Monday was triggered at .8053, just before yesterday’s massive rally. Just this morning, the pair reached the profit target at .8225, resulting in an efficient trade with a favorable risk/reward ratio featuring nearly 3 pips of reward for each pip of risk. Looking ahead, the Kiwi is also testing key resistance, in this case from the previous highs set in late October, meaning that there is potential for a near-term pullback today. However, if the bulls are able to push the pair above .8250, further continuation to the topside will be favored.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 1.8240Previous resistance
Current Price.8217
Support 1.8119Monthly R2 Pivot
Support 2.8050Previous support
Support 3.8000Round handle support

DISCLAIMER: The information provided below should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. FX360 .com is merely providing these views for your general information. The information presented in the views below does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. We generally encourage readers and clients not to risk more than 3% of their account on any single trade. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate.

FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com

NOTE: All trade ideas on FX360.com are hypothetical. FX360.com has not placed these ideas in a live trading environment. Forex Trading involves high risks, with the potential for substantial losses that exceed your initial deposit and is not suitable for all persons. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

CD01BK.035.103009


The information, including Commentary and Trade Ideas, provided on FX360.com should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research which should be performed before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading and FX360 .com is merely providing this information for your general information. The information and opinions presented do not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. Any projections or views of the market provided by FX360.com may not prove to be accurate.

The views of the authors and analysts are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.

TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
GBP/CHF
Medium term



Buy Buy at 1.4766
Stop at 1.4703
Target at 1.4861
AUD/USD
Medium term



Sell Sell at .9839
Stop at 0.9865
Target at 0.9801
USD/JPY
Medium term



Sell Sell at 80.3800
Stop at 80.63
Target at 80
currency trade idea
EUR/JPY
Medium term
Opened 5/23/2012
Sell Short from 99.9000
Stop at 101.55
Target at 98.1
AUD/NZD
Medium term
Opened 5/21/2012
Sell Short from 1.2985
Stop at 1.307
Target at 1.2855
EUR/CHF
Long term
Opened 1/30/2012
Buy Long from 1.2055
Stop at 1.199
Target at 1.2225
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

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