CURRENCYCURRENT BIASPOTENTIAL STRATEGY
EUR/USD (Short Term)
Consolidating near round 1.30 handle, but bullish trend line support may lead to uptrend resumption. See full report for more details
GBP/USD (Short Term)
Trade in Progress: Bought at 1.5587, stop at 1.5512, target at 1.5657. See full report for more details
USD/JPY (Short Term)
Rates rally sharply, bulls now targeting resistance at 77.70, 78.00
USD/CHF (Short Term)
Consolidating below key previous support at .9300, room for further drops toward .9200 if bears regain control
USD/CAD (Short Term)
Bouncing from key support at 1.0070, see full report for more details.
AUD/USD (Short Term)
Pulling back below round 1.0500 handle, but key previous-resistance-turned-support at 1.0440 may put floor under rates today
NZD/USD (Short Term)
Buy if NZD/USD pulls back to .8053, stop at .7990, target at .8225. Move stop to break even if rates rally to .8116 following entry.
  • EUR/USD
  • GBP/USD
  • USD/JPY
  • USD/CHF
  • USD/CAD
  • AUD/USD
  • NZD/USD
EUR/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Consolidating near round 1.30 handle, but bullish trend line support may lead to uptrend resumption. See full report for more details
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Dark Cloud Cover - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Dark Cloud Cover is formed when one candle opens near the top of the previous candle’s range, but sellers step in and push rates down to close in the lower half of the previous candle’s range. It suggests a potential trend reversal.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The EUR/USD primarily consolidated over the past 24 hours, though rates were able to hold above the key 1.30 level. The pair put in a Dark Cloud Cover candlestick formation during today’s early European session, which may foreshadow a potential drop in the pair if 1.30 support is broken. However, bullish trend line support could be anticipated to put a floor under the unit on any shallow pullbacks. At this point, only a break below this trend line would turn the near-term bias bearish for a test of this week’s lows near 1.2900.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.3121Monthly Pivot
Resistance 11.3075Previous resistance
Current Price1.3002
Support 11.3000Round handle
Support 21.2860Previous resistance, now support
Support 3tbd
GBP/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Trade in Progress: Bought at 1.5587, stop at 1.5512, target at 1.5657. See full report for more details
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?Doji - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Doji candle is formed when rates trade higher and lower within a given timeframe, but close in the middle of the range, near the open. Dojis suggest indecision in the market.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The GBP/USD continued to consolidate around monthly pivot resistance at 1.5560 yesterday. The pair did peek above the previous high, triggering our stop buy order at 1.5587. This morning, the pair put in a long-legged Doji pattern, indicating significant indecision in the market. Though rates have inched below the near-term bullish trend line, the bias remains to the topside, especially if this week’s high at 1.5600 is broken. We remain long with a target at 1.5657 (below previous resistance) and a stop at 1.5512 (just under the week’s low).

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 11.5560Previous resistance
Current Price1.5580
Support 11.5515Previous support
Support 21.5400Round handle support
Support 31.5346Monthly S1 Pivot
USD/JPY (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Rates rally sharply, bulls now targeting resistance at 77.70, 78.00
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

USD/JPY has been the surprise of the day thus far, with rates surging above previous / monthly pivot resistance at 77.32. The strong rally suggests significant buying pressure behind the move; moving forward, bulls will seek to maintain momentum and push the pair up to the Monthly R1 pivot at 77.68 or the 78.00 round handle. Any pullbacks are likely to find a floor at the monthly pivot, which should now provide support for the unit.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 278.20Previous Resistance
Resistance 177.68Monthly R1 Pivot
Current Price77.62
Support 177.32Monthly Pivot
Support 276.57Nov. 17 Low
Support 3tbd
USD/CHF (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Consolidating below key previous support at .9300, room for further drops toward .9200 if bears regain control
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CHF has merely passed time over the past 24 hours, with rates consolidating in an extremely tight range below .9300. As we mentioned in yesterday’s report, the .9300 level represented a significant previous level of support, and moving forward, this area is anticipated to limit any rallies in the pair. The USD/CHF may have room for more weakness early this week, as the next level of previous support is down near .9180-.9200. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars to take advantage of any bearish opportunities that do emerge.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3.9405Previous support, now resistance
Resistance 2.9332Monthly Pivot
Resistance 1.9300Monthly Pivot
Current Price.9280
Support 1.9200Round handle
Support 2.9180Previous support
Support 3tbd
USD/CAD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Bouncing from key support at 1.0070, see full report for more details.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CAD bounced yesterday after testing critical long-term support at 1.0070. The pair remains within the longer-term descending triangle pattern highlighted in our weekly technical preview report, though a break below 1.0070 support would likely foreshadow a quick move down to parity (1.00) or .9900 in short order. To the topside, bounces are likely to be contained below descending trend line resistance near 1.0200.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0300Round handle resistance
Resistance 11.0228Monthly Pivot
Current Price1.0125
Support 11.0070Significant previous support
Support 21.0034Monthly S1 Pivot
Support 31.0000Key psychological support
AUD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Pulling back below round 1.0500 handle, but key previous-resistance-turned-support at 1.0440 may put floor under rates today
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Bearish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The Aussie pulled back yesterday after breaking above the round 1.0500 handle in early week trade. The drop carried over into today’s early European session, where the AUD/USD put in a Bearish Marubozu candle, a sign of strong bearish momentum. However, support is expected to emerge near the Monthly R1 pivot at 1.0439. For the rest of the day, we will closely watch for support to emerge in this area and the longer-term uptrend to resume. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any intraday updates.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0750Previous resistance
Resistance 11.0600Round handle resistance
Current Price1.0461
Support 11.0439Monthly R1 Pivot
Support 21.0360Previous support
Support 3tbd
NZD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Buy if NZD/USD pulls back to .8053, stop at .7990, target at .8225. Move stop to break even if rates rally to .8116 following entry.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The NZD/USD has also pulled back over the past 24 hours, but the Kiwi has shown some relative strength against the Aussie. Yesterday afternoon, we shared a trade opportunity to buy the NZD/USD within the context of the longer-term uptrend. This trade remains active, so we will continue to wait for a pullback down to .8053 to enter buy trades, targeting .8225 with a stop at .7990. Note that it would also be prudent to move stops to breakeven if rates rally to previous resistance at .8116 following entry.

Trade Invalidation
This trade will remain valid for the next 24 hours.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2.8235Previous resistance
Resistance 1.8119Monthly R2 Pivot
Current Price.8082
Support 1.8000Round handle support
Support 2.7944Monthly R1 pivot
Support 3tbd

DISCLAIMER: The information provided below should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. FX360 .com is merely providing these views for your general information. The information presented in the views below does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. We generally encourage readers and clients not to risk more than 3% of their account on any single trade. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate.

FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com

NOTE: All trade ideas on FX360.com are hypothetical. FX360.com has not placed these ideas in a live trading environment. Forex Trading involves high risks, with the potential for substantial losses that exceed your initial deposit and is not suitable for all persons. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

CD01BK.035.103009


The information, including Commentary and Trade Ideas, provided on FX360.com should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research which should be performed before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading and FX360 .com is merely providing this information for your general information. The information and opinions presented do not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. Any projections or views of the market provided by FX360.com may not prove to be accurate.

The views of the authors and analysts are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.

TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
GBP/CHF
Medium term



Buy Buy at 1.4766
Stop at 1.4703
Target at 1.4861
AUD/USD
Medium term



Sell Sell at .9839
Stop at 0.9865
Target at 0.9801
USD/JPY
Medium term



Sell Sell at 80.3800
Stop at 80.63
Target at 80
currency trade idea
EUR/JPY
Medium term
Opened 5/23/2012
Sell Short from 99.9000
Stop at 101.55
Target at 98.1
AUD/NZD
Medium term
Opened 5/21/2012
Sell Short from 1.2985
Stop at 1.307
Target at 1.2855
EUR/CHF
Long term
Opened 1/30/2012
Buy Long from 1.2055
Stop at 1.199
Target at 1.2225
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

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