CURRENCYCURRENT BIASPOTENTIAL STRATEGY
EUR/USD (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
GBP/USD (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to go long near the bullish trend line.
USD/JPY (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
USD/CHF (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
USD/CAD (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
AUD/USD (Medium Term)
Watch for a new opportunity to go long near the bullish trend line.
NZD/USD (Medium Term)
Watch for an opportunity to go long near the bullish trend line.

Bradley W. Gareiss

Technical Analyst, GFT

  • EUR/USD
  • GBP/USD
  • USD/JPY
  • USD/CHF
  • USD/CAD
  • AUD/USD
  • NZD/USD
EUR/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy
Last week's bullish Gartley pattern was invalidated before reaching our entry.  Despite a gap down on the open, the pair has rallied well above last week's high.  Therefore, we were right about the general direction, but pair simply didn't drop to our entry before resuming the move up.  It is possible that 61.8% of YZ could provide resistance because broken support frequently becomes new resistance.  Otherwise, we must watch for something brand new to develop since our other formations are currently no longer in play.
Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 2N/AN/A
Resistance 1N/AN/A
Current Price1.3013
Support 1Broken trend lineSee 8hr Chart
Support 21.253278.6% of YZ on the Weekly Chart
Support 31.1876100% of YZ on the Weekly Chart
  • Weekly Chart - Will 61.8% of YZ provide resistance after it failed to provide support?
  • 8hr Chart - Broken bearish trend line.
Get Your DealBook® Charting Package Free!
GBP/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to go long near the bullish trend line.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy

A new bullish trend line has emerged on the 2hr Chart.  The trend line is currently facing its fourth test, and so far it has held.  If his test continues to provide support, we will watch for a new bullish pattern that would allow us to go long near the trend line.  The beginning of this trend line occurred near 1.5330, which has provided strong support several times on the Weekly Chart.  Therefore, we have a bullish bias for this pair as long as the bullish trend line hangs on.

Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 2N/AN/A
Resistance 1N/AN/A
Current Price1.5565
Support 1Bullish trend lineSee 2hr Chart
Support 21.5330See Weekly Chart
Support 3N/AN/A
  • Weekly Chart - General support at 1.5330.
  • 2hr Chart - Bullish trend line.
Get Your DealBook® Charting Package Free!
USD/JPY (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy
The USD/JPY has continued to see support at 76.567.  However, the pair hasn't seen much of a move and is still hovering just above that test.  The USD/JPY has been relatively useless for almost a year, and at this point it would be nice to any amount of normal price action.
Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 2N/AN/A
Resistance 1N/AN/A
Current Price76.97
Support 176.567Signficant low on the Daily Chart
Support 276.392Significant low on the Weekly Chart
Support 375.563Signifcant low on the Daily Chart
  • Weekly Chart - Will 76.392 see further support?
  • Daily Chart - 76.567 has provided strong support.
Get Your DealBook® Charting Package Free!
USD/CHF (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy
A new bearish trend line emerged on the USD/CHF 1hr Chart.  The pair initially gapped up on the open, but the pair quickly fell back below the trend line.  Therefore, this could still be a strong trend line if there is another new successful test at the original line that was determined by the first three points of contract.  However, if the short term trend line breaks we will probably revert to watching for bullish patterns due to the strong uptrend that emerged after the long term bearish trend line broke.
Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 2N/AN/A
Resistance 1Bearish trend lineSee 1hr Chart
Current Price0.9275
Support 1Broken trend lineSee Weekly Chart
Support 2N/AN/A
Support 3N/AN/A
  • Weekly Chart - Broken trend line.
  • 1hr Chart - Bearish trend line may still be in play.
Get Your DealBook® Charting Package Free!
USD/CAD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to emerge.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy
The USD/CAD has seen resistance off of the broken bullish trend line on the Daily Chart.  It is not surprising to see broken support generate new resistance.  The ensuing drop was fairly sharp, which can be seen beginning at point A on the 4hr Chart.  The pair bounced up, but has been pushed back down where it is currently testing 100% of XA.
Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 31.0657100% of YZ on the Daily Chart
Resistance 21.049378.6% of YZ on the Daily Chart
Resistance 1Broken trend lineSee Daily Chart
Current Price1.0081
Support 11.0075100% of XA on the 4hr Chart
Support 21.0009127.2% of XA on the 4hr Chart
Support 30.9925161.8% of XA on the 4hr Chart
  • Daily Chart - Will the broken bullish trend line continue to generate resistance?
  • 4hr Chart - Where will the pair see support?
Get Your DealBook® Charting Package Free!
AUD/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for a new opportunity to go long near the bullish trend line.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy

The AUD/USD broke through the third test of the bearish trend line on the Daily Chart, so the focus will now be on the 8hr Chart bullish trend line.  Therefore, we will begin watching for bullish patterns that would allow us to go long near the trend line.

Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 21.1080100% of XA on the Daily Chart
Resistance 11.071778.6% of XA on the Daily Chart
Current Price1.0519
Support 1Bullish trend lineSee 8hr Chart
Support 20.967978.6% of AB on the Daily Chart
Support 30.9387100% of AB on the Daily Chart
  • Daily Chart - Broken bearish trend line.
  • 8hr Chart - Bullish trend line.
Get Your DealBook® Charting Package Free!
NZD/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Watch for an opportunity to go long near the bullish trend line.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?No trade.
Reason for Strategy

The NZD/USD has seen a perfect fourth test of the bullish trend line.  Unfortunately there was no pattern that allowed us to go long at this test, but it is still advantageous to have yet another successful test.  Now we have a very strong bullish trend line to work with.  We will watch for a new bullish patterns to emerge that would allow us to go long near the bullish trend line. 

Trade Invalidation
No trade.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3N/AN/A
Resistance 20.8241100% of XA on the Daily Chart
Resistance 10.805578.6% of XA on the Daily Chart
Current Price0.8101
Support 1Bullish trend lineSee 8hr Chart
Support 20.766461.8% of AB on the Daily Chart
Support 30.753578.6% of AB on the Daily Chart
  • Daily Chart - Will we see some resistance at 78.6% of XA?
  • 8hr Chart - Bullish trend line.
Get Your DealBook® Charting Package Free!

DISCLAIMER: The information provided below should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. FX360 .com is merely providing these views for your general information. The information presented in the views below does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. We generally encourage readers and clients not to risk more than 3% of their account on any single trade. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate.

FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com

NOTE: All trade ideas on FX360.com are hypothetical. FX360.com has not placed these ideas in a live trading environment. Forex Trading involves high risks, with the potential for substantial losses that exceed your initial deposit and is not suitable for all persons. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

CD01BK.036.103009


The information, including Commentary and Trade Ideas, provided on FX360.com should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research which should be performed before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading and FX360 .com is merely providing this information for your general information. The information and opinions presented do not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. Any projections or views of the market provided by FX360.com may not prove to be accurate.

The views of the authors and analysts are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.

TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
GBP/CHF
Medium term



 Buy Buy at 1.4766
Stop at 1.4703
Target at 1.4861
AUD/USD
Medium term



 Sell Sell at .9839
Stop at 0.9865
Target at 0.9801
USD/JPY
Medium term



 Sell Sell at 80.3800
Stop at 80.63
Target at 80
currency trade idea
EUR/JPY
Medium term
Opened 5/23/2012
 Sell Short from 99.9000
Stop at 101.55
Target at 98.1
AUD/NZD
Medium term
Opened 5/21/2012
 Sell Short from 1.2985
Stop at 1.307
Target at 1.2855
EUR/CHF
Long term
Opened 1/30/2012
 Buy Long from 1.2055
Stop at 1.199
Target at 1.2225
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

LATEST BUSINESS NEWS

MARKET NEWS ALERTS

Receive daily commentary, technical analysis reports and potential strategies from Kathy Lien, Boris Schlossberg, David Morrision and their team of technical analysts.
  • Your first name:
  • Your last name:
Your email address:




Already getting alerts but don't have a FX360 account? Manage your subscriptions by creating an account now.

Already have an account? Manage your subscription here.

CENTRAL BANK RATES