CURRENCYCURRENT BIASPOTENTIAL STRATEGY
EUR/USD (Short Term)
Rates breaking above 1.3000 round handle, room up to previous resistance at 1.3075
GBP/USD (Short Term)
Buy if GBP/USD breaks above 1.5587, stop at 1.5512, target at 1.5657.
USD/JPY (Short Term)
Friday's rally stalled near monthly pivot resistance at 77.32, volatility remains subdued
USD/CHF (Short Term)
Dropping below key support at .9300, room for further drops if bears maintain control
USD/CAD (Short Term)
Approaching key support at 1.0070, see full report for more details
AUD/USD (Short Term)
Friday's buy trade hit profit target, now bullish candlestick pattern suggests room for further rallies
NZD/USD (Short Term)
Pulling back to key .8000 support - bias remains modestly bullish above this level, but a break below would suggest a quick drop to monthly pivot support at .7944.
  • EUR/USD
  • GBP/USD
  • USD/JPY
  • USD/CHF
  • USD/CAD
  • AUD/USD
  • NZD/USD
EUR/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Rates breaking above 1.3000 round handle, room up to previous resistance at 1.3075
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?Bullish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The EUR/USD gapped lower to open this week’s trade as policymakers were unable to come to an accord on the Greek PSI. Unfortunately, the gap lower stopped out our open EUR/USD long trade for a small 7 pip loss. However, the government and private investors were finally able to come to an agreement earlier today, leading to a quick 100 pip surge in the pair. The rally formed a Bullish Marubozu Candle on the 4hr chart, suggesting strong bullish momentum in the unit. If rates are able to conclusively break above psychological resistance at 1.3000 later today, a continuation up to previous resistance at 1.3075 or the monthly pivot at 1.3121 is likely.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.3121Monthly Pivot
Resistance 11.3075Previous resistance
Current Price1.3024
Support 11.3000Round handle
Support 21.2860Previous resistance, now support
Support 3tbd
GBP/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Buy if GBP/USD breaks above 1.5587, stop at 1.5512, target at 1.5657.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?Bullish Engulfing Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Bullish Engulfing candle is formed when the candle breaks below the low of the previous time period before buyers step in and push rates up to close above the high of the previous time period. It indicates that the buyers have wrested control of the market from the seller.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The GBP/USD bounced during today’s European session, but continues to struggle with monthly pivot resistance at 1.5560. The European session bounce confirmed the near-term bullish trend line and formed a Bullish Engulfing Candle on the 4hr chart, showing that the bulls have gained the upper hand. If rates break above this morning’s high at 1.5582, we may see a quick continuation up to previous resistance near 1.5660.

To take advantage, traders could set a stop buy order at 1.5587 with a stop at 1.5512 (below today’s low) and a target at 1.5657 (just under previous resistance).

Trade Invalidation
This trade would be invalidated by a drop below 1.5512 prior to entry, or if not triggered in the next 24 hours.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 11.5560Previous resistance
Current Price1.5568
Support 11.5515Previous support
Support 21.5400Round handle support
Support 31.5346Monthly S1 Pivot
USD/JPY (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Friday's rally stalled near monthly pivot resistance at 77.32, volatility remains subdued
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

USD/JPY pulled back yesterday after testing monthly pivot resistance at 77.32 on Friday. If rates manage to eclipse this level this week, there would be room for a more substantial rally up to 78.00 over the course of next week. Meanwhile, the bias will remain neutral for further consolidation as long as rates remain below 77.32. Regardless, the lack of near-term volatility recently has left few trading opportunities.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 278.20Previous Resistance
Resistance 177.32Monthly Pivot
Current Price76.86
Support 176.57Nov. 17 Low
Support 276.43Monthly S1
Support 3tbd
USD/CHF (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Dropping below key support at .9300, room for further drops if bears maintain control
What is the trend?Down
What is this pattern?Bearish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CHF gapped slightly higher to open this week before coming under heavy selling pressure during today’s early European session. The drop formed a Bearish Marubozu Candle on the 4hr chart, indicating strongly bearish momentum as rates broke below previous / round handle support at .9300. The pair may have room for more weakness early this week, as the next level of previous support is down near .9180-.9200. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars to take advantage of any bearish opportunities that do emerge.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3.9575Previous resistance
Resistance 2.9405Previous support, now resistance
Resistance 1.9332Monthly Pivot
Current Price.9266
Support 1.9200Round handle
Support 2.9180Previous support
Support 3tbd
USD/CAD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Approaching key support at 1.0070, see full report for more details
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CAD also came under selling pressure this morning, with bears pushing the unit back toward significant previous support at 1.0070. The pair remains within the longer-term descending triangle pattern highlighted in our weekly technical preview report, though a break below 1.0070 support would likely foreshadow a quick move down to parity (1.00) or .9900 in short order. To the topside, bounces are likely to be contained below descending trend line resistance near 1.0200.

Specifically, readers could set a stop buy order at 1.0150 (above previous-support-turned-resistance at 1.0140) with a stop at 1.0109 (below today’s low) and a target at 1.0197 (under the round 1.02 handle).

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0300Round handle resistance
Resistance 11.0228Monthly Pivot
Current Price1.0085
Support 11.0070Previous support
Support 21.0034Monthly S1 Pivot
Support 3tbd
AUD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Friday's buy trade hit profit target, now bullish candlestick pattern suggests room for further rallies
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?Bullish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The AUD/USD rallied Friday, triggering the long trade highlighted in Friday’s Candlestick Daily report, and this morning’s European session rally finally took rates up to the profit target at 1.0495. The unit formed a clear Bullish Marubozu candle as rates broke above 1.0500 resistance; this candlestick pattern shows the strong bullish momentum in the pair and suggests the potential for a bullish continuation up to 1.0600 or higher moving forward. At this point, we will wait for intraday pullbacks as opportunities to buy into the uptrend at a more favorable price.

Trade Invalidation
This trade would be invalidated if not triggered by the end of the week.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.0750Previous resistance
Resistance 11.0600Round handle resistance
Current Price1.0554
Support 11.0500Round handle support
Support 21.0360Previous support
Support 3tbd
NZD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Pulling back to key .8000 support - bias remains modestly bullish above this level, but a break below would suggest a quick drop to monthly pivot support at .7944.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?Bullish Marubozu Candle - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Marubozu candle is formed when prices open very near to one extreme of the candle and close very near the other extreme. Marubozu candles represent strong momentum in a given direction.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The Kiwi followed its antipodean brother higher, breaking above the .8100 handle in early European trade. As of writing, rates are consolidating around the Monthly R2 pivot at .8119, though a break above this barrier would open the door for a further continuation rally in the pair. Any pullbacks that do emerge will be seen as buying opportunities, ideally off previous resistance near .8000 or .8100. Stay tuned to FX360 and our daily Live Market Analysis webinars for any intraday updates.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2tbd
Resistance 1.8200Round handle resistance
Current Price.8128
Support 1.8119Monthly R2 Pivot
Support 2.8000Round handle support
Support 3.7944Monthly R1 pivot

DISCLAIMER: The information provided below should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. FX360 .com is merely providing these views for your general information. The information presented in the views below does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. We generally encourage readers and clients not to risk more than 3% of their account on any single trade. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate.

FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com

NOTE: All trade ideas on FX360.com are hypothetical. FX360.com has not placed these ideas in a live trading environment. Forex Trading involves high risks, with the potential for substantial losses that exceed your initial deposit and is not suitable for all persons. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

CD01BK.035.103009


The information, including Commentary and Trade Ideas, provided on FX360.com should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research which should be performed before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading and FX360 .com is merely providing this information for your general information. The information and opinions presented do not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. Any projections or views of the market provided by FX360.com may not prove to be accurate.

The views of the authors and analysts are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.

TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
GBP/CHF
Medium term



Buy Buy at 1.4766
Stop at 1.4703
Target at 1.4861
AUD/USD
Medium term



Sell Sell at .9839
Stop at 0.9865
Target at 0.9801
USD/JPY
Medium term



Sell Sell at 80.3800
Stop at 80.63
Target at 80
currency trade idea
EUR/JPY
Medium term
Opened 5/23/2012
Sell Short from 99.9000
Stop at 101.55
Target at 98.1
AUD/NZD
Medium term
Opened 5/21/2012
Sell Short from 1.2985
Stop at 1.307
Target at 1.2855
EUR/CHF
Long term
Opened 1/30/2012
Buy Long from 1.2055
Stop at 1.199
Target at 1.2225
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

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