CURRENCYCURRENT BIASPOTENTIAL STRATEGY
EUR/USD (Short Term)
EUR/USD testing resistance at 1.2970, room up to 1.30 if rates break above.
GBP/USD (Short Term)
Strong rally leaves room up to previous support at 1.5580. See full report for more details.
USD/JPY (Short Term)
USD/JPY breaks key support at 77.50, volatility picking up modestly.
USD/CHF (Short Term)
Trade in Progress: Long USD/CHF from .9340, STOP ADJUSTED TO BREAKEVEN (.9340), targeting .9530. See full report for more details.
USD/CAD (Short Term)
Ticking lower toward 1.0170 support after anemic trade over past 20 hours. See full report for more details.
AUD/USD (Short Term)
Recent rally approaching critical resistance near 1.0200-20. See full report for more details
NZD/USD (Short Term)
Similar to Aussie, Kiwi rallying but key resistance looms at .7775. See full report for more details.
  • EUR/USD
  • GBP/USD
  • USD/JPY
  • USD/CHF
  • USD/CAD
  • AUD/USD
  • NZD/USD
EUR/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
EUR/USD testing resistance at 1.2970, room up to 1.30 if rates break above.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?Doji - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?A Doji candle is formed when rates trade higher and lower within a given timeframe, but close in the middle of the range, near the open. Dojis suggest indecision in the market.
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The EUR/USD has essentially stagnated over the past 24 hours as traders use the last trading day of 2012 as an opportunity to digest the recent volatility. The pair recently put in a Doji candlestick formation on the 4hr chart, indicating a indecision and balanced, two-way trade in the market. For the rest of the day, further consolidation is likely, though a break above 1.2970 would signal the potential for a rally to the 1.30 handle ahead of the weekend.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 31.3145Monthly S1 Pivot
Resistance 21.3100Round handle resistance
Resistance 11.3000Key psychological resistance
Current Price1.2971
Support 11.2873Previous support
Support 21.2850Monthly S2 Pivot
Support 3tbd
DISCLAIMER: This forum and the information provided here should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this column for your general information. The views of the authors are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
GBP/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Strong rally leaves room up to previous support at 1.5580. See full report for more details.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The GBP/USD meanwhile, is showing clear relative strength against its mainland counterpart. The pair broke above minor resistance near 1.5475 earlier this morning, paving the way for a continuation rally up to 1.5580 ahead of the weekend. Short-term traders may want to look for intraday pullbacks as buying opportunities, given the clear bullish momentum to the this morning’s trade

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 21.5733Monthly Pivot
Resistance 11.5580Previous support, now resistance
Current Price1.5529
Support 11.5475Previous resistance, now support on 4hr
Support 21.5362Previous support
Support 3tbd
DISCLAIMER: This forum and the information provided here should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this column for your general information. The views of the authors are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
USD/JPY (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
USD/JPY breaks key support at 77.50, volatility picking up modestly.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

Trade in the USD/JPY finally appears to be picking up after a two-month slumber between 77.60 and 78.20. Rates dropped below critical support at the monthly pivot at 77.54, leading to a quick 30 pip drop thus far. Bears will push for a test of the Dec. 8 low at 77.12 ahead of the weekend; More importantly though, the recent pickup in volatility, if maintained, should lead to more trading opportunities in 2012.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 378.20Previous resistance
Resistance 278.00Round handle
Resistance 177.54Monthly Pivot
Current Price77.20
Support 177.12Dec. 8 Low
Support 277.00Round handle
Support 3tbd
DISCLAIMER: This forum and the information provided here should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this column for your general information. The views of the authors are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
USD/CHF (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Trade in Progress: Long USD/CHF from .9340, STOP ADJUSTED TO BREAKEVEN (.9340), targeting .9530. See full report for more details.
What is the trend?Up
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CHF has pulled back modestly over the past 24 hours and is trading below .9400 support as of writing. However, rates are currently testing key previous-support-turned-resistance at .9388, a level which has a higher probability of leading to uptrend resumption. Our longer-term buy trade from .9340 remains open with the stop at breakeven. Given the longer-term uptrend, there is still a higher probability of rates continuing up to the target at .9530.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2.9545Previous resistance
Resistance 1.9500Round handle resistance
Current Price.9378
Support 1.9280Previous resistance, now support
Support 2.9200Round handle support
Support 3tbd
DISCLAIMER: This forum and the information provided here should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this column for your general information. The views of the authors are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
USD/CAD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Ticking lower toward 1.0170 support after anemic trade over past 20 hours. See full report for more details.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The USD/CAD has stagnated lately as loonie traders have apparently clocked out early for the new year. Rates have consolidated in a microscopic 25 pip range over the last 24 hours, though the bears may finally be taking the upper hand as we move into the North American session. To the downside, previous support at 1.0170 is likely to put a floor under any intraday pullbacks in the unit.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 31.0400Round handle resistance
Resistance 21.0300Round handle resistance
Resistance 11.0256Monthly Pivot
Current Price1.0178
Support 11.0170Previous support
Support 21.0065Previous support
Support 3tbd
DISCLAIMER: This forum and the information provided here should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this column for your general information. The views of the authors are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
AUD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Recent rally approaching critical resistance near 1.0200-20. See full report for more details
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The Aussie dollar also rallied modestly on the general “risk on” sentiment of today’s European trade. Rates are now approaching converging resistance from 1.0200-20, an area that has capped rates on two occasions in the past 2 weeks. Given today’s empty economic data slate, it is unlikely the Aussie will find enough buying pressure to break above this area.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 31.0300Round handle resistance
Resistance 21.0220Previous resistance
Resistance 11.0200Round handle
Current Price1.0188
Support 11.0050Previous support
Support 21.0000Key psychological support
Support 3.9900Round handle
DISCLAIMER: This forum and the information provided here should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this column for your general information. The views of the authors are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
NZD/USD (Intraday Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Similar to Aussie, Kiwi rallying but key resistance looms at .7775. See full report for more details.
What is the trend?Neutral
What is this pattern?No pattern present - See all chart patterns
Why is this significant?
What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis?
Reason for Strategy

The Kiwi has also rallied thus far this morning, though key previous resistance at .7775 looms just above current market prices. As we’ve outlined throughout this week, rates remain contained within the .7650 - .7775 consolidation zone in the medium-term. A breakout above this range at this point would turn the bias bullish into next week for a test of previous resistance at .7830 in short-order.

Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance 3tbd
Resistance 2.7830Previous resistance
Resistance 1.7775Previous resistance
Current Price.7750
Support 1.7650Previos support
Support 2.7600Round handle support
Support 3tbd

DISCLAIMER: The information provided below should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. FX360 .com is merely providing these views for your general information. The information presented in the views below does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. We generally encourage readers and clients not to risk more than 3% of their account on any single trade. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate.

FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com

NOTE: All trade ideas on FX360.com are hypothetical. FX360.com has not placed these ideas in a live trading environment. Forex Trading involves high risks, with the potential for substantial losses that exceed your initial deposit and is not suitable for all persons. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.


The information, including Commentary and Trade Ideas, provided on FX360.com should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research which should be performed before making your investment decisions. Global Futures & Forex, Ltd. (“GFT Markets”) and FX360.com is merely providing this information for your general information. The information and opinions presented do not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision and should tailor the trade size and leverage of their trading to their personal risk appetite. Any projections or views of the market provided by FX360.com may not prove to be accurate.

The views of the authors and analysts are not necessarily those of GFT Markets, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. FX360.com and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained on FX360.com. GFT Markets and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
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TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
USD/JPY
Medium term



Buy Buy at 103.0500
Stop at 102.75
Target at 103.9
currency trade idea
AUD/USD
Medium term
Opened 5/21/2013
Sell Short from 0.9816
Stop at 0.985
Target at 0.973
GBP/JPY
Medium term
Opened 5/16/2013
Sell Short from 156.6000
Stop at 155.75
Target at 155.1
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

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