EUR/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Buy EUR/USD at 1.4713. Stop at 1.4655. Profit targets at 1.4820, 1.4895.
| What is the trend? | Up |
| What is this pattern? | Bullish Gartley - See all chart patterns |
| Why is this significant? | Converging Fibonacci levels provide strong support @ point D. |
| What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis? | Bullish channel on Daily Chart. |
Reason for Strategy
A bullish Gartley pattern is forming on the EUR/USD 2hr Chart. This
pattern is slightly different then the one we posted last Friday
because Point C is higher. To make it work, we also have to assume
that CD will have some long bars and move to 127.2% of AB. The
pattern still has a long way to go until entry, but it is still worth
drawing at this point. The pair could quickly be invalidated, in which
case we will redraw the pattern next week.
Trade Invalidation
A move above 1.4940 before reaching point D would cancel the trade. Additionally, a move below 1.4655 would stop the trade out. Long bars in the CD leg near the entry would also invalidate this trade. Also, if the pattern comes within 15 pips of hitting the entry, does not enter, and reaches T1, the trade is also invalidated.
| Resistance 3 | N/A | N/A |
| Resistance 2 | N/A | N/A |
| Resistance 1 | Top of channel | See Daily Chart |
| Current Price | 1.4875 | |
| Support 1 | 1.4713 | Bullish Gartley |
| Support 2 | Bottom of channel | See Daily Chart |
| Support 3 | N/A | N/A |
- Daily Chart - Trade would enter near the bottom of the bullish channel.
- 2hr Chart - Bullish Gartley; buy at 1.4713.
DISCLAIMER: This forum and the information provided here should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this column for your general information. The views of the authors are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
This website is not intended for residents of the United Kingdom.
GBP/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Wait until a new pattern emerges.
| What is the trend? | Neutral |
| What is this pattern? | No pattern present - See all chart patterns |
| Why is this significant? | There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade. |
| What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis? | No trade |
Reason for Strategy
The Gartley pattern we posted last Friday has been invalidated because
the pair rose above point A. Therefore, we have drawn a new bullish
channel. The channel is clean so far, but there have not been many
points of contact. Still, we will watch for new patterns to form
within the the bullish channel.
Trade Invalidation
No trade
| Resistance 3 | 1.7379 | 161.8% of XA on the 8hr Chart |
| Resistance 2 | 1.7021 | 127.2% of XA on the 8hr Chart |
| Resistance 1 | Top of channel | See 4hr Chart |
| Current Price | 1.6811 | |
| Support 1 | Bottom of channel | See 4hr Chart |
| Support 2 | 1.6430 | 38.2% of AB on the 8hr Chart |
| Support 3 | 1.6292 | 50% of AB on the 8hr Chart |
- 8hr Chart - New high, when will we see resistance?
- 4hr Chart - Bullish channel.
DISCLAIMER: This forum and the information provided here should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this column for your general information. The views of the authors are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
This website is not intended for residents of the United Kingdom.
USD/JPY (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Wait until a new pattern emerges.
| What is the trend? | Neutral |
| What is this pattern? | No pattern present - See all chart patterns |
| Why is this significant? | There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade. |
| What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis? | No trade |
Reason for Strategy
The USD/JPY trade from yesterday has been invalidated after the rise from the point near our entry. Therefore we have drawn a bearish channel on the 4hr Chart. We will watch for new patterns to form within the context of either bearish channel.
Trade Invalidation
No trade
| Resistance 3 | 109.99 | 61.8% of XA on the Weekly Chart |
| Resistance 2 | 105.63 | 50% of XA on the Weekly Chart |
| Resistance 1 | 101.26 | 38.2% of XA on the Weekly Chart |
| Current Price | 89.28 | |
| Support 1 | 87.12 | 100% of AB on the Weekly Chart |
| Support 2 | 83.22 | 127.2% of AB on the Weekly Chart |
| Support 3 | 78.27 | 161.8% of AB on the Weekly Chart |
- Weekly Chart - Bearish channel.
- 4hr Chart - Bearish channel.
DISCLAIMER: This forum and the information provided here should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this column for your general information. The views of the authors are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
This website is not intended for residents of the United Kingdom.
USD/CHF (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Wait until a new pattern emerges.
| What is the trend? | Neutral |
| What is this pattern? | No pattern present - See all chart patterns |
| Why is this significant? | There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade. |
| What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis? | No trade |
Reason for Strategy
We have drawn an near bearish channel on the 2hr Chart and will watch for new patterns to form within its context. We have pierced the top of the channel, but we will still leave the channel there for now. I think
we could be a pivotal moment in this pair because we also are hovering near the long term 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of XA.
Trade Invalidation
No trade
| Resistance 3 | 1.1432 | 61.8% of AB on the Weekly Chart |
| Resistance 2 | 1.1164 | 50% of AB on the Weekly Chart |
| Resistance 1 | 1.0897 | 38.2% of AB on the Weekly Chart |
| Current Price | 1.0161 | |
| Support 1 | 1.0184 | 78.6% of XA on the Weekly Chart |
| Support 2 | 0.9609 | 100% of XA on the Weekly Chart |
| Support 3 | 0.8878 | 127.2% of XA on the Weekly Chart |
- Weekly Chart - Will support at 1.0184 finally hold or finally break?
- 2hr Chart - Broken bearish channel.
DISCLAIMER: This forum and the information provided here should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this column for your general information. The views of the authors are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
This website is not intended for residents of the United Kingdom.
USD/CAD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Sell USD/CAD at 1.0702. Stop at 1.0746. Profit targets at 1.0637, 1.0587.
| What is the trend? | Down |
| What is this pattern? | Bearish Gartley - See all chart patterns |
| Why is this significant? | Converging Fibonacci levels provide strong resistance @ point D. |
| What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis? | Bearish trend line on the Daily Chart. |
Reason for Strategy
A bearish Gartley pattern is forming on the USD/CAD 4hr Chart. There are two candidates for point X, which both provide resistance near the same point. The trade would also enter near the bearish trend line on the Daily Chart. The main concern with this setup is that the pair is near point C and could easily invalidate the trade with a small move down. However, this pattern is still worth tracking at this point.
Trade Invalidation
A move below 1.0497 before reaching point D would cancel the trade. Additionally, a move above 1.0746 would stop the trade out. Long bars in the CD leg near the entry would also invalidate this trade. Also, if the pattern comes within 10 pips of hitting the entry, does not enter, and reaches T1, the trade is also invalidated.
| Resistance 3 | 1.0964 | 50% of XC on the Daily Chart |
| Resistance 2 | 1.0785 | 38.2% of XC on the Daily Chart |
| Resistance 1 | 1.0702 | Bearish Gartley |
| Current Price | 1.0514 | |
| Support 1 | 1.0495 | 127.2% of AB on the Daily Chart |
| Support 2 | 1.0324 | 161.8% of AB on the Daily Chart |
| Support 3 | 1.0205 | Significant low |
- Daily Chart - Trade would enter near the bearish trend line.
- 4hr Chart - Bearish Gartley; sell at 1.0702.
DISCLAIMER: This forum and the information provided here should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this column for your general information. The views of the authors are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
This website is not intended for residents of the United Kingdom.
AUD/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Wait until a new pattern emerges.
| What is the trend? | Neutral |
| What is this pattern? | No pattern present - See all chart patterns |
| Why is this significant? | There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade. |
| What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis? | No trade |
Reason for Strategy
The bullish channel we drew yesterday on the 30 min chart has failed and the pair quickly shot down. We will watch for new patterns (or even a new channel) to develop.
Trade Invalidation
No trade
| Resistance 3 | Top of channel | See 30min Chart |
| Resistance 2 | Bottom of channel | See 30min Chart |
| Resistance 1 | 0.9327 | Significant high |
| Current Price | 0.9294 | |
| Support 1 | Bottom of channel | See Weekly Chart |
| Support 2 | 0.8199 | 38.2% of AB on the Weekly Chart |
| Support 3 | 0.7827 | 50% of AB on the Weekly Chart |
- Weekly Chart - Bullish channel.
- 30min Chart - Broken bullish channel.
DISCLAIMER: This forum and the information provided here should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this column for your general information. The views of the authors are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
This website is not intended for residents of the United Kingdom.
NZD/USD (Swing Forecast)
Potential Strategy
Wait until a new pattern emerges.
| What is the trend? | Neutral |
| What is this pattern? | No pattern present - See all chart patterns |
| Why is this significant? | There is no high probability pattern so we cannot place a trade. |
| What other indicators or Fib Levels support this thesis? | No trade |
Reason for Strategy
The NZD/USD has been tough to deal with since the large gap from last
weekend's open. There is not a whole lot of symmetry here and this is
a fairly weak bullish channel. We will likely stay away
from this one for a while because of the extreme gap.
Trade Invalidation
No trade
| Resistance 3 | Top of channel | See Daily Chart |
| Resistance 2 | Bottom of channel | See Daily Chart |
| Resistance 1 | Top of channel | See 2hr Chart |
| Current Price | 0.7442 | |
| Support 1 | Bottom of channel | See 2hr Chart |
| Support 2 | N/A | N/A |
| Support 3 | N/A | N/A |
- Daily Chart - Broken bullish channel with possible resistance at the bottom trend line.
- 2hr Chart - Bullish channel.
DISCLAIMER: This forum and the information provided here should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this column for your general information. The views of the authors are not necessarily those of Global Forex Trading, its owners, officers, agents or other employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the authors may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading and the currency research team do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice. If investment, legal, tax, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
This website is not intended for residents of the United Kingdom.