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CHF/JPY Approaching Support, Potential Buy

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Last Updated: 10 min ago

The rapidly declining CHF/JPY may be approaching short to medium-term support as prices approach bullish pattern completion near daily bull trendline support. There are elements to this particular setup that provide two different approaches to this particular entry.

With prices falling for the past few days it may seem counterintuitive to be discussing a potential buying opportunity, however, the 8hr shows both a bullish Gartley pattern (beginning with X1)and a bullish Butterfly pattern (beginning with X2) are projected to complete near 83.15. Towards the end of March we saw rapidly declining prices find support near this level (bottoming out at 83.37) before posting a sharp rally to point A. The 161.8% ABCD extension pattern that defines both patterns is also projected to complete near daily trendline support near 82.75. 

As a result we are looking to buy the CHF/JPY at 83.43 with stops at 82.23. Targets have been set just below 38.2% and 61.8% of CD at 84.93 (T1) and 86.31 (T2), respectively.

An alternative, and for all intents and purposes more conservative, strategy would be to first wait for the 161.8% ABCD extension pattern to complete near 82.75, then look to buy at 83.43 if prices do in fact rally. If prices continue to decline and move below the predetermined stop at 82.23 a loss would be avoided.



Daily Chart - 161.8% ABCD extension pattern projected to complete near bull trendline support... 2min Chart - Bullish Gartley and Butterfly patterns are projected to completed near D


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