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  • On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to tell us that US employers fired another 500k people in the month of January. Surprisingly enough currencies and equities are trading higher ahead of the non-farm payrolls report which suggests that traders are not afraid of a bad number. Everyone knows that the US economy is very weak and major job losses will continue. Since traders are becoming immune to bad data, it may take job losses in the area of 600k to spook them (January Non-Farm Payrolls Preview). Instead, traders are looking beyond Friday’s non-farm payrolls report to the Monday, February 9th speech by US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner. According to a Treasury official, Geithner is expected to unveil a bank rescue plan next week. This is one of the few things that could strike a meaningful recovery in the currency and equity markets. If traders deem Geithner’s plan as satisfactory, we could see a further recovery in the financial markets despite the fact that the US economy will get worse before it gets better.

TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
GBP/USD
Medium term



Sell Sell at 1.5904
Stop at 1.5924
Target at 1.5874
currency trade idea
CAD/JPY
Long term
Opened 2/10/2012
Buy Long from 77.6500
Stop at 76.65
Target at 78.9
GBP/CHF
Medium term
Opened 2/8/2012
Sell Short from 1.4470
Stop at 1.4602
Target at 1.4352
AUD/CAD
Medium term
Opened 2/6/2012
Buy Long from 1.0740
Stop at 1.0655
Target at 1.085
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

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