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COMMENTARY

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  • Written by Kathy Lien
    Last updated 1/20/2012 5:09:36 PM ET
    As of the New York close, there was no word on the Greek PSI deal. Late night talks are apparently underway but given how long the negotiations have gone on for, we can only assume that Greece and her creditors are squabbling once again.
  • Written by Kathy Lien
    Last updated 1/20/2012 10:05:20 AM ET
    After a week of optimism, investors are finally starting to become nervous about the euro. In the minds of the market, today is the do or die day for the Greek PSI talks. Greek officials and European sources have promised
  • Written by Boris Schlossberg
    Last updated 1/20/2012 5:14:57 AM ET
    The shorts got the upper hand in early European trade today after EUR/USD failed to take out the key 1.3000 barrier in Asian session dealing. The pair had rallied to a high of 1.2986 on the close of Asia but lackluster PMI data out of China and continuing uncertainty over the PSI talks in Athens prompted a spate of profit taking in morning European trade that took the pair back below the 1.2900 figure.
  • Written by Boris Schlossberg
    Last updated 1/20/2012 1:49:21 AM ET
    Trading was very subdued in Asian session trade as many traders took an early holiday ahead of the Chinese New Year next week with equities trading higher as Nikkei closed up 1.47% while the Hang Seng rose 0.51%. The HSBC Chinese Manufacturing PMI printed at 48.8 barely rising from last month’s reading of 48.7.
  • Written by Bradley Gareiss
    Last updated 1/19/2012 8:13:16 PM ET
    A bullish Gartley pattern is forming on the GBP/CHF.
  • Written by Kathy Lien
    Last updated 1/19/2012 4:54:32 PM ET
    The euro is closing in on 1.30. As much as experts around the world may pound the table about the significant economic risk that lies ahead, the euro continues to strengthen, shrugging off all the region’s sovereign debt worries. The EUR/USD has become completely immune to any negative comments including those from German Bundesbank President Weidmann who warned that the uncertainty in the economic outlook was unusually big.
  • Written by Kathy Lien
    Last updated 1/19/2012 9:02:25 AM ET
    According to this morning's U.S. economic reports, conditions in the labor market continue to improve. Weekly jobless claims fell to its lowest levels since April 2008 and as a survey period for the January non-farm payrolls
  • Written by Boris Schlossberg
    Last updated 1/19/2012 5:18:22 AM ET
    Strong results from the Spanish 10 year bond auction and positive risk sentiment during European trade helped push the EUR/USD through the 1.2900 level as the short squeeze in the currency pair continued for the third day in row. Spain sold a total 6.6 billion euros of bonds nearly twice the 3.5 billion target as demand for its paper proved strong.
  • Written by Boris Schlossberg
    Last updated 1/19/2012 2:58:16 AM ET
    Australian employment missed its mark printing at -29.3K versus forecast of 10.2K sending Aussie lower in Asian session trade. The unemployment rate decreased to 5.2% from 5.3% expected as the participation rate declined to 65.2%.
  • Written by Bradley Gareiss
    Last updated 1/18/2012 8:01:07 PM ET
    A bearish Gartley pattern is emerging on the CAD/JPY.
  • Written by Kathy Lien
    Last updated 1/18/2012 5:04:08 PM ET
    The euro’s Teflon coating has protected the currency extremely well this week, keeping it immune from the intensification of the region’s sovereign debt crisis. As much as we believe that the EUR/USD should be trading much lower, we have to respect the recent moves in the currency. Positioning
  • Written by Kathy Lien
    Last updated 1/18/2012 9:17:34 AM ET
    It has been a very busy morning in the foreign exchange markets with the EUR/USD being taken for a rollercoaster
  • Written by Boris Schlossberg
    Last updated 1/18/2012 5:47:30 AM ET
    The euro went on a roller coaster ride today rising in late Asian trade on optimism over a possible deal on the restructuring of Greek debt only to tumble when Fitch threatened a two notch downgrade of Italy only to return to the session highs by midmorning European trade on news that IMF may boost its lending facility by $1 Trillion.
  • Written by Boris Schlossberg
    Last updated 1/18/2012 3:58:29 AM ET
    Fitch rating agency has threatened to downgrade Italian sovereign debt by two notches from current A+ rating sending EUR/USD plunging in early European trade. According to Reuters a senior director from Fitch indicated that the ratings agency was preparing to lower the ratings on Europe’s third largest economy.
  • Written by Boris Schlossberg
    Last updated 1/18/2012 2:47:43 AM ET
    The EUR/USD was mildly bid at the start of European trade today as markets focused on the negotiations regarding Greek debt with discussion between the government and private bedt holders set to resume today. The Institute of International Finance, which represents banks involved in the proposed Greek debt swap, said Tuesday that negotiations should resume on Wednesday with “a sense of urgency.”

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TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
GBP/USD
Medium term



Sell Sell at 1.5904
Stop at 1.5924
Target at 1.5874
currency trade idea
CAD/JPY
Long term
Opened 2/10/2012
Buy Long from 77.6500
Stop at 76.65
Target at 78.9
GBP/CHF
Medium term
Opened 2/8/2012
Sell Short from 1.4470
Stop at 1.4602
Target at 1.4352
AUD/CAD
Medium term
Opened 2/6/2012
Buy Long from 1.0740
Stop at 1.0655
Target at 1.085
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

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