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COMMENTARY

• EUR and Italian Yields After Berlusconi Vote
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 11/8/2011 10:50:08 AM ET
  The votes are in and Berlusconi's party won but lost Parliamentary majority which leaves the Italian Prime Minister
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• FX: Waiting on 3 Announcements, Keep an Eye on USD/JPY
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 11/8/2011 9:21:25 AM ET
  European currencies are trading higher this morning against the greenback but the comm dollars have weakened as investors sit at the edge of their seats waiting for the latest headlines out of Europe. In just a few hours, if not
  1 comment
• Euro Consolidates as SNB Continues to Push For Weaker Franc
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 11/8/2011 5:16:00 AM ET
  Risk appetite improved in early European session dealing today with high beta currencies rising modestly at the start of the day as all eyes remained on Italy where Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi faces his stiffest political challenge yet ahead of a key Parliamentary vote on the budget. Although this is not a formal no-confidence vote, a failure to pass the legislation could put enormous pressure on Mr. Berlusconi as his support will have greatly eroded.
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• CHF Crosses Continue to Press Higher
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 11/8/2011 3:19:47 AM ET
  For the second night in a row CHF crosses are inching higher on speculation that the Swiss National Bank will raise its floor on the EUR/CHF after yesterdays weak CPI data triggered alarms that the country is sinking into a deflation. Yesterday’s Swiss CPI printed at -0.1% versus 0.2% as the strong franc in continues to exert downward pressure in prices. Today, the SECO consumer climate report printed at -24 versus -17 the month prior, the lowest level since Q3 of 2009.
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• Following the Plan
  Written by Bradley Gareiss
  Last updated 11/7/2011 7:59:56 PM ET
  Creating a trading plan is one thing; following it is another.
  1 comment
• EUR: What is the Magic Number for Italy?
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 11/7/2011 5:23:57 PM ET
  Tomorrow could be D-Day for Berlusconi. The Parliament will be holding a vote on state financing that could be followed by a confidence vote on the nation’s austerity measures.
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• EUR/USD: Prime for a Breakout, Italy’s Parliamentary Vote Could be the Catalyst
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 11/7/2011 10:33:42 AM ET
  The price action in the foreign exchange market today is a good example of what is in store for the rest of the week. With no major U.S. economic reports on the calendar, headlines out of Europe has and will continue to be the number one driv
  1 comment
• Euro Back Under Pressure as Week Starts
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 11/7/2011 5:20:12 AM ET
  It was a choppy start to the week’s trade today as EUR/USD came under some early morning selling pressure after Italian government bond spreads reached their widest level since the beginning of the euro era. The yield on 10 year Italian BTP bonds increased above the key 6.50% level, last trading at 6.54% as markets now focus on the political turmoil in Italy.
  1 comment
• Italy New Hot Spot For Euro
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 11/7/2011 3:57:14 AM ET
  Italy is quickly becoming the new sore spot for the European credit crisis as the spread between Italian and German bonds blows out to euro era highs. The yield on 10 year Italian BTP bonds has increased above the key 6.50% level, last trading at 6.54% as markets now focus on the political turmoil in Italy.
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• EUR/GBP Sell Opportunity at 0.8683
  Written by Bradley Gareiss
  Last updated 11/5/2011 2:43:20 PM ET
  A bearish Gartley pattern is forming on the EUR/GBP.
  5 comments
• Top 3 Risks for EUR Next Week
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 11/4/2011 4:34:20 PM ET
  It has been a very busy big week for the euro and unfortunately few of the region’s problems have been resolved. For this reason we could see additional volatility in the currency this week as continuing developments help investors get their hands around the risks in the Eurozone.
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• USD: Boosted by Revisions to Payrolls, Still Waiting on G20 and Greek Vote
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 11/4/2011 9:03:55 AM ET
  When it comes to assessing the impact of the non-farm payrolls report on the U.S. dollar and risk appetite, the most important question to ask is how the number plays into the central bank's monetary policy decision. Earlier this week, the Fe
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• EUR/USD Firms a Bit On G-20 Draft
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 11/4/2011 6:20:08 AM ET
  After a week of very volatile trade, the EUR/USD was exceedingly quiet in Asian and early European dealing today trading either side of the 1.3800 figure as markets awaited the US NFP results due at 12:30 GMT as well as the latest developments on the Greek no confidence vote scheduled for later in the day. The pair did rally towards the 1.3850 area when a draft of the G20 draft surfaced suggesting that the summit is now focusing on using the IMF as key funding source for troubled member nations.
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• Greek Drama Calms But Italy May Be Next
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 11/4/2011 4:37:23 AM ET
  The latest developments in Greece indicate that Prime Minister Papandreou will step down from his post irrespective of the results of today’s no confidence vote. However, the two main parties in Greek Parliament are expected to ratify the EU bailout agreement struck in Brussels last week paving the way for EU and IMF to provide the sixth tranche of funds to Greece before it runs out of funds by the start of next month.
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• EUR/CAD Short Opportunity at 1.4087
  Written by Bradley Gareiss
  Last updated 11/3/2011 6:43:26 PM ET
  A bearish Gartley pattern is forming on the EUR/CAD.
  0 comments