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COMMENTARY

• FX: Pre-positioning for Next Week?
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 9/30/2011 9:01:52 AM ET
  The rally in the greenback reflects the market's concern that European officials will not deliver a grand master plan to save the euro next week. We started the week off with a nice dose of optimism but
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• Creating a trading plan
  Written by Bradley Gareiss
  Last updated 9/29/2011 9:00:04 PM ET
  We will go over the basic steps and requirement for creating a complete trading plan.
  1 comment
• FX: Rating Agencies Ruin The Party
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 9/29/2011 4:45:08 PM ET
  Blame it on the rating agencies! Throughout the past few years, the decision of rating agencies has played a big role in the movements of the markets. Their failure to accurately assess the risk of collateralized assets contributed in a large way to the subprime / Global Financial Crisis.
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• US: Risk Appetite Lifted by US Data and German Vote
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 9/29/2011 9:13:37 AM ET
  Better than expected U.S. economic data and the smooth passage of the amendments to the European Financial Stability Facility in Germany helped to boost risk appetite across the financial markets. U.S. jobless claims fell 37k to 391k from last week to the
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• Can EUR/USD Break 1.3700?
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 9/29/2011 4:59:50 AM ET
  A big reversal night for risk FX as EUR/USD was lifted off its Asian session lows on investor optimism over the German Parliament vote on EFSF and better than expected labor data out Germany. Earlier in Asia EUR/USD was driven lower by risk aversion flows as US equity markets ended near their lows, and the pair looked like it was going to break the 1.3500 figure at the start of Tokyo open.
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• Euro Rallies Ahead of German Vote on EFSF
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 9/29/2011 3:11:31 AM ET
  The euro rose in a sharp short covering rally in late Asia as investor optimism improved ahead of the key EFSF vote in the German Parliament today. Markets expect Angela Merkel’s ruling coalition to support the measure to expand the EFSF with many of the left of center opposition members joining the vote.
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• EUR/JPY Long Opportunity at 103.19
  Written by Bradley Gareiss
  Last updated 9/28/2011 8:25:08 PM ET
  A bullish Gartley pattern is forming on the EUR/JPY.
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• FX: The Window is Closing
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 9/28/2011 5:19:18 PM ET
  The window to prevent another meltdown in the financial markets is closing. At the start of the week, investors were very optimistic that the Europeans would get their act together and alleviate the pressure on the market by coming up with an ambitious plan to contain Greece’s debt crisis and prevent contagion.
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• Euro Giving Back Gains as Patience Wears Thin
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 9/28/2011 9:07:32 AM ET
  The gains in the euro and other high yielding currencies are evaporating quickly as investors look at the various proposals to save Greece and denial by politicians with frustration. Their patience is being tested and the longer
  1 comment
• Will Secret German Plan Stabilize the Euro?
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 9/28/2011 5:30:22 AM ET
  Risk FX reversed its Asian session losses in early European trade today on hopes of resolution for the Greek sovereign debt crisis, but the rally quickly ran out of steam as EUR/USD stalled above the 1.3600 level while Aussie could not hold the .9900 figure. Traders were encouraged by the report in the French paper La Tribune which suggested that Germany may have a secret plan to rescue Greece that would involve putting most of the country’s public assets in to a single structure that would eventually be privatized.
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• German CPI Surprisingly Hot As Euro Recovers Losses
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 9/28/2011 4:08:39 AM ET
  Consumer prices in the state of Saxony rose at faster pace than forecast increasing by 0.3% versus -0.1% eyed, suggesting that price pressures in Europe’s largest economy remain elevated. On a year over year basis prices rose at 2.6% - above ECB’s target of 2.0%. Saxony is the first of six German states to report CPI data today.
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• EUR/CHF to Resume Uptrend at 1.2154?
  Written by Bradley Gareiss
  Last updated 9/27/2011 8:06:45 PM ET
  A bullish Gartley pattern is emerging on the EUR/CHF.
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• USD: Message from Fed Getting Clearer
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 9/27/2011 6:00:42 PM ET
  Investors around the world are focused on Europe and rightly so because it is where the greatest uncertainty lies. However we should never lose sight
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• FX: What's Behind the Rally in Risk?
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 9/27/2011 10:13:19 AM ET
  Investors are probably scratching their heads right now wondering how risk appetite can be so strong this morning after European officials rejected all of yesterday's rumors about increasing the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) and using the European Investment Bank (EIB) to bail the euro out. The reason why the mood continues
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• Euro Hugs 1.3500 As Uncertainty Reigns
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 9/27/2011 5:26:52 AM ET
  The short covering rally in EUR/USD ran out of steam in early European trade today after Spain’s Economics Minister Elena Salgado said that plans to extend the EFSF fund to 2 Trillion euros were not on the table. Her comments dampened hopes that EZ fiscal officials would be able to create a European style TARP that could address the growing sovereign debt crisis in the region. Despite strong gains in equities in both Asia and Europe, the euro failed to follow through dropping back below the 1.3500 level as concerns mounted that political barriers would scuttle any financial solution putting the European monetary system at risk.
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