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COMMENTARY

• FX: Inflation, China and European Tragedy
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/17/2011 4:56:43 PM ET
  Currencies and equities sold off across the board today as investors returned to the safety of the U.S. dollar. Comments from German officials were a reality check for
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• FX: The Consequences of Misplaced Optimism
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/17/2011 9:59:15 AM ET
  This may be a busy week for U.S. economic data but this morning's reports had very little impact on the U.S. dollar. The G20 came up with nothing this weekend and investors are beginning to realize that their recent
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• Can Positioning Help Lift EUR/USD to 1.4000?
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 10/17/2011 5:28:21 AM ET
  Better risk flows at the start of European trade helped to lift EUR/USD through the key 1.3900 level as currency markets remained relatively buoyant on the first trading day of the week. With little reaction to the G-20 communiqué and with no meaningful economic data on the docket, currencies took their cue from equities which continued to rise in the wake of more signals that global economic growth may be rebounding into the year end. Friday’s better than expected US Retail Sales report was just the latest data point to surprise to the upside quelling investor concerns about any possible return to recession for the US economy.
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• Three Key Issues For FX Markets Ahead of EU Summit
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 10/17/2011 3:45:44 AM ET
  Currency markets remained calm on the first trading day of the week with EUR/USD tracing out a narrow 1.3850-1.3880 range in Asia session trade as consolidation was the dominant theme of the day. There was little reaction to the weekend’s G-20 communique as traders take a wait and see attitude to the policymakers announcement that the Eurozone will "decisively address the current challenges through a comprehensive plan".
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• Forex Positioning, G20 And Week Ahead
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/14/2011 4:51:02 PM ET
  It has been a great week in the financial markets with U.S. stocks rising to a one month high after falling to a one year low in early October. As a function of the improvement in risk appetite, investors have moved their money out of the safety of U.S. dollars and recycled them back into higher yielding currencies.
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• USD: Jump in Retail Sales Equals Stronger Q3 GDP
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/14/2011 9:19:37 AM ET
  To the relief of central banks and investors around the world, U.S. consumers have finally came out of hiding. After refraining from making any major purchases throughout the Spring and Summer, back to school
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• Can USD/JPY Break Above 77.00?
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 10/14/2011 5:40:55 AM ET
  A choppy end of the week session in FX as markets prepared for the G-20 meeting over the weekend with expectation riding high that EZ officials will produce a meaningful plan to address the region’s sovereign debt concerns. The EUR/USD attracted a lot of two way price action as it oscillated around the 1.3800 level for the second day in a row. Having risen nearly 600 points in two weeks the pair I clearly pausing for breath, but the overall market tone remains relatively positive on risk.
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• Chinese Inflation Eases Fueling a Rebound in Risk
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 10/14/2011 2:29:44 AM ET
  Chinese inflation data moderated in September easing concerns about further PBOC tightening and helping to lift risk currencies in late Asian session trade. Chinese CPI printed at 6.1% versus 6.2% expected while the PPI data was also cooler at 6.5% versus 7.0% eyed.
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• USD: Will Retail Sales Trigger Any Fireworks?
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/13/2011 5:00:31 PM ET
  The reason why investors have taken their eye off the U.S. dollar and why the dollar’s value has been frozen against the Japanese Yen for the past 2 months is because there have been very few surprises in the U.S. economy that can be game changers for the Federal Reserve.
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• FX: Small Improvements in US Data Fails to Help Risk
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/13/2011 9:01:11 AM ET
  Small improvements in U.S. data do not go very far in helping the Federal Reserve clarify its outlook for the U.S. economy which is why currencies and equities barely reacted to this morning's reports. In the month of August, the
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• Risk FX Gives Up Gains as Bank Worries Resurface
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 10/13/2011 5:09:47 AM ET
  Gloomy comments by Deutsche Bank CEO Josef Ackermann sent risk FX tumbling in morning European trade reversing the Asian session rally. Mr. Ackermann warned that haircut of EU sovereign debt combined with demands to boost bank capital could lead to a credit crunch in the real economy.
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• Australian Employment Boosts Rally in Risk
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 10/13/2011 3:27:13 AM ET
  Australian employment data beat expectations helping to push Aussie above the 1.0200 level in early morning Asian trade, but the rally in risk fizzled in the wake of weaker than forecast Chinese Trade data and increased tensions between China and US. Australia created 20,400 new jobs in September - far better than the median forecast of 10,000 as the country’s unemployment also dipped to 5.2% versus 5.3% eyed.
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• Review: Trading Psychology and Drawdowns
  Written by Bradley Gareiss
  Last updated 10/12/2011 8:47:52 PM ET
  Why is psychology the most important aspect of trading how to stay in the right frame of mind.
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• USD: FOMC Minutes and China Currency Bill
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/12/2011 5:28:16 PM ET
  The mood in the financial markets continues to improve with currencies, equities and bond yields performing extremely well over the past 24 hours.
  2 comments
• EUR/CHF Long Opportunity at 1.2307
  Written by Bradley Gareiss
  Last updated 10/12/2011 3:47:42 PM ET
  A bullish Gartley pattern has nearly completed on the EUR/CHF.
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