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COMMENTARY

• Review: Probabilities in Trading
  Written by Bradley Gareiss
  Last updated 10/25/2011 8:58:34 PM ET
  Why it is important to look at trading in terms of probabilities rather than absolutes.
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• EUR: EU Summit, Resolution or Delays?
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/25/2011 4:57:50 PM ET
  Surprise, surprise, euro traders were taken on another rollercoaster ride today courtesy of the European Union who announced the cancellation of tomorrow’s EU Finance
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• What Cancellation of EcoFin Meeting Means for EUR
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/25/2011 10:26:39 AM ET
  There was shock but no awe in the markets this morning when the U.K. announced the cancellation of tomorrow's EU Finance Ministers meeting. The EU-27 and EU-17 Leaders Summit will still take place but Finance Ministers will not be meeting in advance to finalize their
  1 comment
• CAD: Dovish BoC Comments Halts March to Parity
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/25/2011 9:25:23 AM ET
  With little in the way of fresh market moving headlines out of Europe, the focus has shifted, albeit temporary to North America. The Canadian dollar rose to a fresh 1 month high against the greenback following better than
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• Cautious Trade in EUR/USD Ahead of the Summit
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 10/25/2011 5:12:32 AM ET
  A night of consolidation and profit taking in the FX market as traders remained cautious ahead of the EU summit tomorrow with many key issues still unresolved. The latest newsflow from the region only added to the confusion with FDP General Secretary Linder saying that proposals for leveraging the EFSF are acceptable to the party, seemingly paving the way for approval of the accord in Bundestag tomorrow, but Austrian Finance Minister stating that they do not want to invest fresh money into the Greek bailout.
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• German Consumer Confidence Improves But Caution Reigns in EUR/USD
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 10/25/2011 3:07:50 AM ET
  The headline measure of GFK German consumer confidence report rose in October on strong labor market conditions but the underlying sub components deteriorated confirming the slowdown in other economic data from the region. The GFK index rose to 5.3 from 5.2 the month prior as German's income growth and propensity to spend rose as labor demand remained robust.
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• Trading Psychology- Accepting the Risk
  Written by Bradley Gareiss
  Last updated 10/24/2011 9:04:31 PM ET
  Accepting the risk before placing a trade is one of the most important components of a winning trader's psychological makeup.
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• FX: What Rise in French Yields Say about EUR Rally
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/24/2011 4:17:55 PM ET
  The recent volatility in the euro can be best summed by the phrase “two steps forward, one step back” where the currency is tacking on gains on a daily basis against the U.S. dollar, but the progress has been choppy and not smooth. The EUR/USD edged higher for the fourth straight trading day,
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• What we Know about EU Rescue and Chance of BoJ Intervention
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/24/2011 10:07:44 AM ET
  When the European markets opened for trading this morning, the euro surged to a high of 1.3954 against the U.S. dollar but as the session progressed and details
  1 comment
• Euro Gives Up Early Gains, Yen Remains Near Record Strength
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 10/24/2011 5:25:06 AM ET
  Another topsy turvy session for the EUR/USD at the start of week’s trading as the pair first rallied on renewed confidence regarding the EU summit and better Chinese PMI data only to give up its gains in early European dealing after EZ PMI data revealed further deterioration in economic activity. The pair rose to a high of 1.3954 in the wake of Chinese PMI data that rebounded to 51.1 from 49.9 the period prior, suggesting that world’s second largest economy is not facing any risk of hard landing.
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• Mixed EZ PMI Data Provides No Help to the Euro
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 10/24/2011 4:00:22 AM ET
  Flash PMI data from Eurozone’s core economies of Germany and France was mixed providing no clear direction for the market but the EUR/USD remained well bid nevertheless on hopes that progress was being made at the EU summit in Brussels. EU officials appear to have reached an agreement on recapitalizing the region’s banks with more than 100 Billion EUR of fresh capital and are close to determining the final haircuts for Greek debt.
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• CAD/JPY to Face Strong Resistance at 76.17?
  Written by Bradley Gareiss
  Last updated 10/21/2011 5:11:26 PM ET
  A bearish Gartley pattern if emerging on the CAD/JPY.
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• EU Summit Scenarios and Impact on EUR
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/21/2011 10:20:51 AM ET
  For the past two weeks, the euro has traded almost exclusively on the hope that Euro area policymakers will deliver a package
  3 comments
• Euro Recovers Off Lows But Remains Rangebound
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 10/21/2011 5:41:44 AM ET
  It’s been a lackluster night of trade with EUR/USD tracing out a range of 1.3700-1.3800 as Sunday’s EU summit has lost much of its importance given the announcement by authorities that they will postpone the final decision until next Wednesday. The latest communique from Brussels indicates that Sunday will only be an intermediary meeting with next Wednesday now set as the final deadline for some sort of a comprehensive policy plan.
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• IFO in Line as Euro Drifts Lower
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 10/21/2011 4:35:16 AM ET
  The IFO survey of German business sentiment printed lower but broadly in line with headline number slipping to106.4 from 107.5 the month prior while current conditions declined to 116.7 from 117.9 and future expectations eased to 97.0 from 98.0. This was the fourth consecutive monthly decline in the sentiment readings suggesting that German economy is clearly decelerating as pessimism over the European sovereign debt crisis is beginning to weigh on economic activity.
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