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COMMENTARY

• How the ECB Meeting Could be a No Win for Euro
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 11/2/2011 8:57:17 AM ET
  Thursday’s European Central Bank announcement will be monumental for 2 reasons. It will be the first time in 8 years that the meeting will be chaired
  2 comments
• USD: Stronger ADP Means no QE3 but FOMC Still Key
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 11/2/2011 8:31:38 AM ET
  There are a number of important event risks on the calendar this week and one of them will be this Friday's non-farm payrolls report. The leading indicators for payrolls have begun to roll in and according to the Challenger
  1 comment
• EUR/USD Remains Jumpy on Headline Risk As Economic Data Deteriorates
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 11/2/2011 6:37:08 AM ET
  Another whipsaw session for EUR/USD in early European trade as the pair first rallied to 1.3800 on short covering flows and rumors of possible Chinese investment into EFSF only to sell off back to 1.3750 on news that the EFSF bond issue would be delayed. Trading in the pair remains very jumpy as headline risk continues to dominate flow with focus now turning to today’s meeting between Greek Prime Minister George Panpandreou, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel.
  0 comments
• German Unemployment Rises But Euro Rallies on Short Covering
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 11/2/2011 5:26:21 AM ET
  German unemployment missed expectations rising by 10K versus forecasts of -10K drop as the unemployment rate climbed to 7.0% from 6.9% eyed. This was the first increase in German unemployment in 19 months indicating that EZ largest economy is beginning to feel the stress of the credit crisis that has plagued the region for most of this year.
  0 comments
• AUD/CHF to Resume Uptrend at 0.9141?- Invalidated
  Written by Bradley Gareiss
  Last updated 11/2/2011 2:17:14 AM ET
  A bullish Gartley pattern is currently forming on the AUD/CHF.
  5 comments
• How to Trade the Fed Rate Announcement
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 11/1/2011 4:40:27 PM ET
  Central bank rate decisions are one of the most important event risks for the forex market. In the case of the Federal Reserve, the potential market impact of the interest rate decision on currencies is magnified by the possibility of a change in monetary policy and the importance
  2 comments
• FOMC Preview: What to Expect from the Fed and the Dollar
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 11/1/2011 12:30:37 PM ET
  Investors are flocking back into the safety of U.S. dollars but their appetite for the greenback could change if the Federal Reserve introduces a new round of stimulus this week.
  1 comment
• Beggars Can't be Choosers - Weaker Data, Greece and MF Global Killing Risk
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 11/1/2011 10:05:32 AM ET
  Beggars can't be choosers and the fact that Greece even thinks they have a choice in accepting the EU debt deal is beyond logic. For the past month, European leaders took on the hard challenge of crafting a broad rescue plan for
  0 comments
• Euro Drops to 1.3700 as Risk Under Assault From All Angles
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 11/1/2011 6:16:07 AM ET
  Risk aversion dominated currency trade in Asian and early European session today as a plethora of issues weighed on investor’s minds. The news was bad on every front with economic data missing expectations, monetary policy becoming more accommodative and event risk raising the prospect of uncertainty. EUR/USD dropped below the 1.3700 level before finally finding some bids while Aussie drifted to 1.0350.
  0 comments
• Aussie Suffers as RBA Cuts Benchmark Rate
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 11/1/2011 3:45:58 AM ET
  As expected the Reserve Bank of Australia lowered its benchmark rate by 25bp to 4.5% noting that, “recent information is consistent with a moderation in the pace of global growth, though fears of a major downturn have not been borne out so far. “ The RBA noted that inflation, while still above target is likely to decline as weather effects of last summer begin to recede with more crops coming on to the market while labor costs will ease as well as employment growth cools. As a result, the RBA expects inflation to be consistent with 2-3% growth in 2012 and 2013.
  0 comments
• GBP/CAD Short Opportunity at 1.6151
  Written by Bradley Gareiss
  Last updated 10/31/2011 6:47:02 PM ET
  A bearish Gartley pattern is forming on the GBP/CAD.
  6 comments
• FX: A Spooky Day in the Market
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/31/2011 5:27:12 PM ET
  It has been a spooky day in the financial markets. Aside from the Bank of Japan’s intervention induced rally in the Japanese Yen crosses, all of the major
  1 comment
• Why USD/JPY Peg is Unlikely and Fade vs Trade Intervention
  Written by Kathy Lien
  Last updated 10/31/2011 10:12:12 AM ET
  Even though the media has been focused on the unresolved issues in Europe, the big story in the currency market this morning is Japanese intervention. For
  1 comment
• Can BOJ Intervention in USD/JPY Succeed?
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 10/31/2011 5:40:03 AM ET
  After weeks of jawboning and warnings the BOJ finally intervened in the currency markets tonight sending USD/JPY higher by more than 300 points in matter of minutes after the pair came dangerously close to breaching the key 75.00 barrier at the start of Asian trade. Over the past month USD/JPY has been in an unrelenting one way downtrend ignoring any and all fundamental news and decoupling from the trend in 3M Libor rates that favored a dollar rally.
  1 comment
• Why This Time BOJ Intervention May Work
  Written by Boris Schlossberg
  Last updated 10/30/2011 10:30:48 PM ET
  After weeks of warnings and jawboning Japan finally intervened in the currency market tonight sending USD/JPY soaring by more than 300 points in matter of 30 minutes. Finance Minister Jun Azumi has repeatedly said that Tokyo would take "decisive steps" when necessary against the strong yen. "I have said many times, if forex moves do not reflect the economic fundamentals and speculative moves last, Japan will take firm measures," he told reporters earlier in the day.
  4 comments