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COMMENTARY

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  • Written by Kathy Lien
    Last updated 12/2/2011 4:51:09 PM ET
    If you thought the financial markets were chaotic this week, just wait until next week when the action really heats up.
  • Written by Bradley Gareiss
    Last updated 12/2/2011 10:46:49 AM ET
    The bullish Gartley pattern forming on the GBP/USD is still valid.
  • Written by Kathy Lien
    Last updated 12/2/2011 10:08:48 AM ET
    At first glance, this morning’s U.S. non-farm payrolls report failed to impress the market. Yes, job growth was basically in line with expectations especially when taking into account the 20k more jobs that were added to the October report and Yes, the unemployment fell to 8.6 percent, its lowest level since March 2009. However with
  • Written by Boris Schlossberg
    Last updated 12/2/2011 5:13:26 AM ET
    Risk FX was mildly higher in quiet pre-NFP trade boosted by 1.5% gains in European equities, but pair failed to generate much momentum with EUR/USD staling ahead of the 1.3500 barrier while AUD/USD was unable to pull away from 1.0250 as currency traders remained on the sidelines ahead of the key US employment report.
  • Written by Boris Schlossberg
    Last updated 12/2/2011 3:45:59 AM ET
    German Chancellor Angela Merkel stated today that development towards a fiscal union was on the agenda for the EU Summit scheduled for December 9th. Speaking in Berlin, Ms. Merkel also stated that the EU crisis may take years to resolve as she tried to temper market expectations ahead of the meeting. She also reiterated her opposition to the idea of Eurobonds which many market analysts believe is the only viable long term solution to the current sovereign debt crisis.
  • Written by Kathy Lien
    Last updated 12/1/2011 4:36:41 PM ET
    Considering the significance of the coordinated action by central banks on Wednesday, the fact that yesterday’s momentum failed to carry over today is simply disappointing and reinforces our warning that although helpful, more liquidity does not solve the structural problems in the Eurozone.
  • Written by Kathy Lien
    Last updated 12/1/2011 10:29:13 AM ET
    Over the past month, we have seen a number of improvements in the U.S. economy yet Federal Reserve officials continue to talk of the need for more transparency and stimulus. This of course is related to their concerns about the European sovereign crisis and its impact on the financial markets but how quickly and aggressively they choose to change the guidance and language of their FOMC statement will partially hinge upon Friday’s non-farm payrolls report.
  • Written by Boris Schlossberg
    Last updated 12/1/2011 5:58:59 AM ET
    EUR/USD recovered towards the 1.3500 figure in midmorning European trade today in the wake of well received bond auctions from both Spain and France. The Spanish Treasury was able to auction off the full 3.75 Billion allotment with bid to cover ratios averaging a much better 2.7 versus 1.8 the period prior. The yields on the 2017 bonds were 5.5444% versus 4.782% the auction prior which was still considerably higher, but the rate of increase in Spanish yields has started to decelerate indicating that credit conditions in the region may be easing as investors are no longer demanding exorbitant risk premia to hold peripheral debt.
  • Written by Bradley Gareiss
    Last updated 11/30/2011 8:42:43 PM ET
    A bullish Gartley pattern is emerging on the EUR/JPY.
  • Written by Boris Schlossberg
    Last updated 11/30/2011 8:10:45 PM ET
    Australian Retail Sales missed their mark for the second month in a row printing at 0.2% versus 0.4% eyed in a sign that consumers Down Under are turning decidedly cautious as sentiment continues to weaken. Growing concerns over the slowdown in economic growth in Asia Pacific region as well as dwindling labor market demand have clearly dampened consumer appetite as sales declined for the third month in row.
  • Written by Kathy Lien
    Last updated 11/30/2011 4:25:32 PM ET
    Thanks to the coordinated action by the world’s largest central banks, it has been a great day in the financial markets. U.S. equities are up more than 3 percent, bond
  • Written by Kathy Lien
    Last updated 11/30/2011 8:46:44 AM ET
    It has been an extremely busy morning in the foreign exchange market but in a very good way because we are finally seeing global policy coordination. Central banks around the world have flooded the markets with liquidity by cutting interest rates on dollar swaps, extending swap authorization to Feb 2013 and setting up bilateral liquidity swaps
  • Written by Boris Schlossberg
    Last updated 11/30/2011 4:49:09 AM ET
    The EUR/USD was pressured in Asian and early European trade but remained above key support levels as negative investors sentiment from China and further concerns regarding EZ stability were somewhat offset by better than expected economic data out Germany. The pair spent most of early European trade under the 1.3300 figure after Shanghai equity markets sold off by more than -3% - their biggest decline in three months.
  • Written by Boris Schlossberg
    Last updated 11/30/2011 2:40:39 AM ET
    Risk currencies were lower at the start of morning European trade weighed down by a sharp decline in Shanghai equity prices and further concerns over Eurozone fracture spurred by comments from Italian regulator.
  • Written by Bradley Gareiss
    Last updated 11/29/2011 8:25:27 PM ET
    A bullish Gartley pattern and a bearish Gartley pattern are both forming on the GBP/CHF.

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TRADE IDEAS

  • Trades to Watch
  • Trades in Progress
currency trade idea
GBP/USD
Medium term



Sell Sell at 1.5904
Stop at 1.5924
Target at 1.5874
currency trade idea
CAD/JPY
Long term
Opened 2/10/2012
Buy Long from 77.6500
Stop at 76.65
Target at 78.9
GBP/CHF
Medium term
Opened 2/8/2012
Sell Short from 1.4470
Stop at 1.4602
Target at 1.4352
AUD/CAD
Medium term
Opened 2/6/2012
Buy Long from 1.0740
Stop at 1.0655
Target at 1.085
These are hypothetical trades and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research.

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